Recent July 2026 CPI data showing a 3.0% year-over-year increase—driven primarily by a 25.7% surge in gasoline prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions—has reinforced trader positioning around the 2.5–2.9% band for Canada’s full-year average inflation rate, with that outcome holding the highest implied probability at 36%. Core measures tracked by the Bank of Canada remain anchored near 2%, limiting pass-through from energy shocks, while subdued GDP growth and the central bank’s steady 2.25% policy rate signal expectations that headline pressures will moderate through year-end. Government and private forecasts, including those from the Bank of Canada’s July Monetary Policy Report, project convergence toward the 2% target by 2027, supporting the market’s consensus that the annual average will avoid both sub-2% disinflation and renewed upside above 3.5%. Key upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release and September BoC meeting, which could shift probabilities if energy prices or labor market data deviate from current trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCanada Annual Inflation 2026
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 35.9%
3.0-3.4% 17.9%
2.0–2.4% 15.0%
1.5–1.9% 14.6%
$38,290 ปริมาณ
$38,290 ปริมาณ
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
3%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
15%
2.0–2.4%
15%
2.5–2.9%
36%
3.0-3.4%
18%
3.5-3.9%
13%
4.0%+
1%
2.5–2.9% 35.9%
3.0-3.4% 17.9%
2.0–2.4% 15.0%
1.5–1.9% 14.6%
$38,290 ปริมาณ
$38,290 ปริมาณ
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
$1,081 ปริมาณ
3%
1.0–1.4%
$5,268 ปริมาณ
5%
1.5–1.9%
$3,350 ปริมาณ
15%
2.0–2.4%
$1,204 ปริมาณ
15%
2.5–2.9%
$9,623 ปริมาณ
36%
3.0-3.4%
$13,770 ปริมาณ
18%
3.5-3.9%
$3,511 ปริมาณ
13%
4.0%+
$484 ปริมาณ
1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent July 2026 CPI data showing a 3.0% year-over-year increase—driven primarily by a 25.7% surge in gasoline prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions—has reinforced trader positioning around the 2.5–2.9% band for Canada’s full-year average inflation rate, with that outcome holding the highest implied probability at 36%. Core measures tracked by the Bank of Canada remain anchored near 2%, limiting pass-through from energy shocks, while subdued GDP growth and the central bank’s steady 2.25% policy rate signal expectations that headline pressures will moderate through year-end. Government and private forecasts, including those from the Bank of Canada’s July Monetary Policy Report, project convergence toward the 2% target by 2027, supporting the market’s consensus that the annual average will avoid both sub-2% disinflation and renewed upside above 3.5%. Key upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release and September BoC meeting, which could shift probabilities if energy prices or labor market data deviate from current trends.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,290วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 18, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent July 2026 CPI data showing a 3.0% year-over-year increase—driven primarily by a 25.7% surge in gasoline prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions—has reinforced trader positioning around the 2.5–2.9% band for Canada’s full-year average inflation rate, with that outcome holding the highest implied probability at 36%. Core measures tracked by the Bank of Canada remain anchored near 2%, limiting pass-through from energy shocks, while subdued GDP growth and the central bank’s steady 2.25% policy rate signal expectations that headline pressures will moderate through year-end. Government and private forecasts, including those from the Bank of Canada’s July Monetary Policy Report, project convergence toward the 2% target by 2027, supporting the market’s consensus that the annual average will avoid both sub-2% disinflation and renewed upside above 3.5%. Key upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release and September BoC meeting, which could shift probabilities if energy prices or labor market data deviate from current trends.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,290วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 18, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent July 2026 CPI data showing a 3.0% year-over-year increase—driven primarily by a 25.7% surge in gasoline prices amid Middle East geopolitical tensions—has reinforced trader positioning around the 2.5–2.9% band for Canada’s full-year average inflation rate, with that outcome holding the highest implied probability at 36%. Core measures tracked by the Bank of Canada remain anchored near 2%, limiting pass-through from energy shocks, while subdued GDP growth and the central bank’s steady 2.25% policy rate signal expectations that headline pressures will moderate through year-end. Government and private forecasts, including those from the Bank of Canada’s July Monetary Policy Report, project convergence toward the 2% target by 2027, supporting the market’s consensus that the annual average will avoid both sub-2% disinflation and renewed upside above 3.5%. Key upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release and September BoC meeting, which could shift probabilities if energy prices or labor market data deviate from current trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย