Statistics Canada's July 31 advance estimate showed Canadian real GDP rising 0.2% month-over-month in June 2026, following a 0.3% May increase, with gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and retail trade offset by declines in utilities and agriculture. This preliminary reading, which points to 0.8% second-quarter expansion, underpins the market's strong 54.5% implied probability on the 0.2-0.3% bin ahead of the official August 28 release. Broader context includes subdued 2026 growth forecasts around 1.1% from the Bank of Canada amid trade frictions and slower population growth, with recent monthly data reflecting modest momentum after Q1 weakness. Traders are monitoring any revisions to the advance figure and August economic releases that could shift the final MoM outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCanada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)
Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)
0.2-0.3% 55%
0.0-0.1% 24%
<0.0% 3.4%
0.6-0.7% 2.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
<0.0%
3%
0.0-0.1%
24%
0.2-0.3%
55%
0.4-0.5%
1%
0.6-0.7%
2%
0.8%+
1%
0.2-0.3% 55%
0.0-0.1% 24%
<0.0% 3.4%
0.6-0.7% 2.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
<0.0%
$337 ปริมาณ
3%
0.0-0.1%
$1,267 ปริมาณ
24%
0.2-0.3%
$536 ปริมาณ
55%
0.4-0.5%
$159 ปริมาณ
1%
0.6-0.7%
$373 ปริมาณ
2%
0.8%+
$262 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Statistics Canada's July 31 advance estimate showed Canadian real GDP rising 0.2% month-over-month in June 2026, following a 0.3% May increase, with gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and retail trade offset by declines in utilities and agriculture. This preliminary reading, which points to 0.8% second-quarter expansion, underpins the market's strong 54.5% implied probability on the 0.2-0.3% bin ahead of the official August 28 release. Broader context includes subdued 2026 growth forecasts around 1.1% from the Bank of Canada amid trade frictions and slower population growth, with recent monthly data reflecting modest momentum after Q1 weakness. Traders are monitoring any revisions to the advance figure and August economic releases that could shift the final MoM outcome.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,934วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Statistics Canada's July 31 advance estimate showed Canadian real GDP rising 0.2% month-over-month in June 2026, following a 0.3% May increase, with gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and retail trade offset by declines in utilities and agriculture. This preliminary reading, which points to 0.8% second-quarter expansion, underpins the market's strong 54.5% implied probability on the 0.2-0.3% bin ahead of the official August 28 release. Broader context includes subdued 2026 growth forecasts around 1.1% from the Bank of Canada amid trade frictions and slower population growth, with recent monthly data reflecting modest momentum after Q1 weakness. Traders are monitoring any revisions to the advance figure and August economic releases that could shift the final MoM outcome.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,934วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Statistics Canada's July 31 advance estimate showed Canadian real GDP rising 0.2% month-over-month in June 2026, following a 0.3% May increase, with gains in wholesale trade, finance and insurance, and retail trade offset by declines in utilities and agriculture. This preliminary reading, which points to 0.8% second-quarter expansion, underpins the market's strong 54.5% implied probability on the 0.2-0.3% bin ahead of the official August 28 release. Broader context includes subdued 2026 growth forecasts around 1.1% from the Bank of Canada amid trade frictions and slower population growth, with recent monthly data reflecting modest momentum after Q1 weakness. Traders are monitoring any revisions to the advance figure and August economic releases that could shift the final MoM outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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