Recent consensus forecasts from the ECB, OECD, IMF, and European Commission place Eurozone GDP growth for 2026 in the 0.8–1.0% range, reflecting the dominant market-implied probability for the 0–1.0% outcome. Persistent energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions, weak consumer confidence, and decelerating momentum—despite a Q2 2026 surprise at +0.4% quarter-over-quarter—have kept projections anchored below prior expectations. German fiscal support and resilient activity in select member states provide limited offsets, while services sector weakness and net export drags reinforce downside risks. Trader positioning on Polymarket aggregates these verified data points into a clear probability distribution favoring subdued expansion through year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
0-1.0% 79.1%
1.0-2.0% 15%
4.0-5.0% 5.4%
<0% 3.4%
$30,417 ปริมาณ
$30,417 ปริมาณ
<0%
3%
0-1.0%
79%
1.0-2.0%
15%
2.0-3.0%
1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
5%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 79.1%
1.0-2.0% 15%
4.0-5.0% 5.4%
<0% 3.4%
$30,417 ปริมาณ
$30,417 ปริมาณ
<0%
3%
0-1.0%
79%
1.0-2.0%
15%
2.0-3.0%
1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
5%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0%+
<1%
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent consensus forecasts from the ECB, OECD, IMF, and European Commission place Eurozone GDP growth for 2026 in the 0.8–1.0% range, reflecting the dominant market-implied probability for the 0–1.0% outcome. Persistent energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions, weak consumer confidence, and decelerating momentum—despite a Q2 2026 surprise at +0.4% quarter-over-quarter—have kept projections anchored below prior expectations. German fiscal support and resilient activity in select member states provide limited offsets, while services sector weakness and net export drags reinforce downside risks. Trader positioning on Polymarket aggregates these verified data points into a clear probability distribution favoring subdued expansion through year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย