Recent July employment data showed nonfarm payrolls declining unexpectedly by 23,000 amid downward revisions to prior months, with the unemployment rate easing to 4.1% primarily due to a sharp drop in labor force participation to a multi-year low of 61.4%. This softening signals cooling demand rather than outright contraction, tempered by resilient claims data and limited layoffs, while persistent inflation pressures above target and geopolitical factors have kept the Fed on hold at the 3.5–3.75% funds rate. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4.1–4.3% for August as participants weigh whether the participation decline persists or if modest hiring rebounds amid slower growth forecasts near 1.8% GDP. The September FOMC meeting and August payroll release remain key near-term swing factors in this narrow range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAugust Unemployment Rate
August Unemployment Rate
4.1% 32%
4.2% 28%
4.3% 20%
4.0% 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
≤3.8%
1%
3.9%
2%
4.0%
13%
4.1%
32%
4.2%
28%
4.3%
20%
4.4%
7%
4.5%
3%
≥4.6%
4%
4.1% 32%
4.2% 28%
4.3% 20%
4.0% 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
≤3.8%
$110 ปริมาณ
1%
3.9%
$112 ปริมาณ
2%
4.0%
$554 ปริมาณ
13%
4.1%
$2,349 ปริมาณ
32%
4.2%
$1,050 ปริมาณ
28%
4.3%
$630 ปริมาณ
20%
4.4%
$133 ปริมาณ
7%
4.5%
$132 ปริมาณ
3%
≥4.6%
$112 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July employment data showed nonfarm payrolls declining unexpectedly by 23,000 amid downward revisions to prior months, with the unemployment rate easing to 4.1% primarily due to a sharp drop in labor force participation to a multi-year low of 61.4%. This softening signals cooling demand rather than outright contraction, tempered by resilient claims data and limited layoffs, while persistent inflation pressures above target and geopolitical factors have kept the Fed on hold at the 3.5–3.75% funds rate. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4.1–4.3% for August as participants weigh whether the participation decline persists or if modest hiring rebounds amid slower growth forecasts near 1.8% GDP. The September FOMC meeting and August payroll release remain key near-term swing factors in this narrow range.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,183วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July employment data showed nonfarm payrolls declining unexpectedly by 23,000 amid downward revisions to prior months, with the unemployment rate easing to 4.1% primarily due to a sharp drop in labor force participation to a multi-year low of 61.4%. This softening signals cooling demand rather than outright contraction, tempered by resilient claims data and limited layoffs, while persistent inflation pressures above target and geopolitical factors have kept the Fed on hold at the 3.5–3.75% funds rate. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4.1–4.3% for August as participants weigh whether the participation decline persists or if modest hiring rebounds amid slower growth forecasts near 1.8% GDP. The September FOMC meeting and August payroll release remain key near-term swing factors in this narrow range.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,183วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July employment data showed nonfarm payrolls declining unexpectedly by 23,000 amid downward revisions to prior months, with the unemployment rate easing to 4.1% primarily due to a sharp drop in labor force participation to a multi-year low of 61.4%. This softening signals cooling demand rather than outright contraction, tempered by resilient claims data and limited layoffs, while persistent inflation pressures above target and geopolitical factors have kept the Fed on hold at the 3.5–3.75% funds rate. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4.1–4.3% for August as participants weigh whether the participation decline persists or if modest hiring rebounds amid slower growth forecasts near 1.8% GDP. The September FOMC meeting and August payroll release remain key near-term swing factors in this narrow range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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