Recent July 2026 data showed core CPI easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% in June, aligning with consensus forecasts and reflecting softer core goods prices alongside normalized services inflation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a 0.20% monthly increase, implying an annual rate near 2.43%, while economist surveys cluster around 2.5%. These figures, combined with steady shelter costs and moderating energy volatility, underpin trader positioning favoring 2.3–2.5% outcomes as the market prices in gradual disinflation without abrupt shifts. The upcoming August release, due mid-September, will further inform Fed policy expectations amid the current 3.50–3.75% funds rate range and mixed labor market signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCore CPI YoY - August 2026
2.4% 37%
2.3% 21%
2.5% 19%
2.6% 8%
≤2.0%
5%
2.1%
2%
2.2%
7%
2.3%
27%
2.4%
37%
2.5%
19%
2.6%
8%
2.7%
7%
2.8%
6%
≥2.9%
3%
2.4% 37%
2.3% 21%
2.5% 19%
2.6% 8%
≤2.0%
5%
2.1%
2%
2.2%
7%
2.3%
27%
2.4%
37%
2.5%
19%
2.6%
8%
2.7%
7%
2.8%
6%
≥2.9%
3%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 data showed core CPI easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% in June, aligning with consensus forecasts and reflecting softer core goods prices alongside normalized services inflation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a 0.20% monthly increase, implying an annual rate near 2.43%, while economist surveys cluster around 2.5%. These figures, combined with steady shelter costs and moderating energy volatility, underpin trader positioning favoring 2.3–2.5% outcomes as the market prices in gradual disinflation without abrupt shifts. The upcoming August release, due mid-September, will further inform Fed policy expectations amid the current 3.50–3.75% funds rate range and mixed labor market signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย