Recent declines in Mexico's headline inflation, including a July 2026 reading of 3.12%—the lowest since 2020—have reinforced trader expectations for a 2026 annual rate in the 3.50–3.99% range, now carrying a 42.5% market-implied probability. Core inflation has eased to 3.95%, returning to Banxico’s 3% ±1% target band, supported by lower food prices and the lagged effects of prior monetary easing that brought the policy rate to 6.50%. Analyst forecasts have been revised lower to around 4.0% for the year, reflecting contained non-core pressures and stable labor market conditions, though Banxico anticipates slower convergence to the 3% target. Upcoming data releases and any shifts in global commodity prices or domestic demand remain key swing factors for these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMexico Annual Inflation 2026
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
3.50% to 3.99% 42.4%
4.00% to 4.49% 29%
4.50% to 4.99% 8%
3.00% to 3.49% 6.8%
$64,128 ปริมาณ
$64,128 ปริมาณ
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
1%
2.50% to 2.99%
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
42%
4.00% to 4.49%
29%
4.50% to 4.99%
8%
5.00% to 5.49%
4%
5.50%+
3%
3.50% to 3.99% 42.4%
4.00% to 4.49% 29%
4.50% to 4.99% 8%
3.00% to 3.49% 6.8%
$64,128 ปริมาณ
$64,128 ปริมาณ
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
$1,061 ปริมาณ
1%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,895 ปริมาณ
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
$28,329 ปริมาณ
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
$4,014 ปริมาณ
42%
4.00% to 4.49%
$12,313 ปริมาณ
29%
4.50% to 4.99%
$4,752 ปริมาณ
8%
5.00% to 5.49%
$2,452 ปริมาณ
4%
5.50%+
$6,313 ปริมาณ
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent declines in Mexico's headline inflation, including a July 2026 reading of 3.12%—the lowest since 2020—have reinforced trader expectations for a 2026 annual rate in the 3.50–3.99% range, now carrying a 42.5% market-implied probability. Core inflation has eased to 3.95%, returning to Banxico’s 3% ±1% target band, supported by lower food prices and the lagged effects of prior monetary easing that brought the policy rate to 6.50%. Analyst forecasts have been revised lower to around 4.0% for the year, reflecting contained non-core pressures and stable labor market conditions, though Banxico anticipates slower convergence to the 3% target. Upcoming data releases and any shifts in global commodity prices or domestic demand remain key swing factors for these probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,128วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 8, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent declines in Mexico's headline inflation, including a July 2026 reading of 3.12%—the lowest since 2020—have reinforced trader expectations for a 2026 annual rate in the 3.50–3.99% range, now carrying a 42.5% market-implied probability. Core inflation has eased to 3.95%, returning to Banxico’s 3% ±1% target band, supported by lower food prices and the lagged effects of prior monetary easing that brought the policy rate to 6.50%. Analyst forecasts have been revised lower to around 4.0% for the year, reflecting contained non-core pressures and stable labor market conditions, though Banxico anticipates slower convergence to the 3% target. Upcoming data releases and any shifts in global commodity prices or domestic demand remain key swing factors for these probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,128วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 8, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent declines in Mexico's headline inflation, including a July 2026 reading of 3.12%—the lowest since 2020—have reinforced trader expectations for a 2026 annual rate in the 3.50–3.99% range, now carrying a 42.5% market-implied probability. Core inflation has eased to 3.95%, returning to Banxico’s 3% ±1% target band, supported by lower food prices and the lagged effects of prior monetary easing that brought the policy rate to 6.50%. Analyst forecasts have been revised lower to around 4.0% for the year, reflecting contained non-core pressures and stable labor market conditions, though Banxico anticipates slower convergence to the 3% target. Upcoming data releases and any shifts in global commodity prices or domestic demand remain key swing factors for these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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