Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP quarter-over-quarter growth market reflects trader consensus around a slowdown from the 1.1% Q1 expansion, with the 0.3%–0.5% band holding a 57.4% implied probability. Elevated central bank policy rates have curbed consumption and investment amid sticky inflation, while prior fiscal stimulus effects fade and monthly activity indicators through May signal deceleration across agriculture, industry, and services. Annual 2026 growth forecasts from the OECD and IMF cluster near 1.6%–1.9%, consistent with this moderation. The September 1 IBGE release remains the key catalyst, where stronger government spending or export performance could support upside surprises within the current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBrazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
0.3%–0.5% 57.3%
0.0%–0.2% 35.8%
0.6%–0.8% 6.7%
<0.0% <1%
$49,286 ปริมาณ
$49,286 ปริมาณ
Sep 1, 2026
<0.0%
1%
0.0%–0.2%
31%
0.3%–0.5%
57%
0.6%–0.8%
7%
0.9%–1.1%
<1%
1.2%–1.4%
<1%
≥1.5%
<1%
0.3%–0.5% 57.3%
0.0%–0.2% 35.8%
0.6%–0.8% 6.7%
<0.0% <1%
$49,286 ปริมาณ
$49,286 ปริมาณ
Sep 1, 2026
<0.0%
$1,346 ปริมาณ
1%
0.0%–0.2%
$3,686 ปริมาณ
31%
0.3%–0.5%
$18,481 ปริมาณ
57%
0.6%–0.8%
$15,478 ปริมาณ
7%
0.9%–1.1%
$6,320 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.2%–1.4%
$2,983 ปริมาณ
<1%
≥1.5%
$992 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil's Q2 2026 GDP quarter-over-quarter growth market reflects trader consensus around a slowdown from the 1.1% Q1 expansion, with the 0.3%–0.5% band holding a 57.4% implied probability. Elevated central bank policy rates have curbed consumption and investment amid sticky inflation, while prior fiscal stimulus effects fade and monthly activity indicators through May signal deceleration across agriculture, industry, and services. Annual 2026 growth forecasts from the OECD and IMF cluster near 1.6%–1.9%, consistent with this moderation. The September 1 IBGE release remains the key catalyst, where stronger government spending or export performance could support upside surprises within the current pricing.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,286วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil's Q2 2026 GDP quarter-over-quarter growth market reflects trader consensus around a slowdown from the 1.1% Q1 expansion, with the 0.3%–0.5% band holding a 57.4% implied probability. Elevated central bank policy rates have curbed consumption and investment amid sticky inflation, while prior fiscal stimulus effects fade and monthly activity indicators through May signal deceleration across agriculture, industry, and services. Annual 2026 growth forecasts from the OECD and IMF cluster near 1.6%–1.9%, consistent with this moderation. The September 1 IBGE release remains the key catalyst, where stronger government spending or export performance could support upside surprises within the current pricing.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,286วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP quarter-over-quarter growth market reflects trader consensus around a slowdown from the 1.1% Q1 expansion, with the 0.3%–0.5% band holding a 57.4% implied probability. Elevated central bank policy rates have curbed consumption and investment amid sticky inflation, while prior fiscal stimulus effects fade and monthly activity indicators through May signal deceleration across agriculture, industry, and services. Annual 2026 growth forecasts from the OECD and IMF cluster near 1.6%–1.9%, consistent with this moderation. The September 1 IBGE release remains the key catalyst, where stronger government spending or export performance could support upside surprises within the current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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