Recent July monthly inflation of 2.1% month-over-month, slightly above the 2.0% consensus and up from June’s 1.9%, anchors market-implied odds favoring the 1.8–2.0% bin for August at nearly 50% probability. Traders price in continued gradual disinflation driven by Argentina’s fiscal surplus, tighter monetary policy under the central bank, and peso stability, even as year-over-year rates hover near 33.8%. Analyst surveys and central bank projections point to year-end 2026 inflation around 29–30%, supporting expectations for August readings clustering near or below 2.0%. The secondary 1.5–1.7% outcome at 30% reflects optimism for further moderation absent major utility or fuel adjustments ahead of the September 10 INDEC release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
1.8-2.0% 50.0%
1.5-1.7% 30.4%
2.1-2.3% 22.5%
1.2-1.4% <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
30%
1.8-2.0%
50%
2.1-2.3%
13%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
1%
3.0%+
1%
1.8-2.0% 50.0%
1.5-1.7% 30.4%
2.1-2.3% 22.5%
1.2-1.4% <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
$282 ปริมาณ
1%
1.2-1.4%
$275 ปริมาณ
1%
1.5-1.7%
$2,370 ปริมาณ
30%
1.8-2.0%
$2,904 ปริมาณ
50%
2.1-2.3%
$687 ปริมาณ
13%
2.4-2.6%
$275 ปริมาณ
1%
2.7-2.9%
$275 ปริมาณ
1%
3.0%+
$275 ปริมาณ
1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July monthly inflation of 2.1% month-over-month, slightly above the 2.0% consensus and up from June’s 1.9%, anchors market-implied odds favoring the 1.8–2.0% bin for August at nearly 50% probability. Traders price in continued gradual disinflation driven by Argentina’s fiscal surplus, tighter monetary policy under the central bank, and peso stability, even as year-over-year rates hover near 33.8%. Analyst surveys and central bank projections point to year-end 2026 inflation around 29–30%, supporting expectations for August readings clustering near or below 2.0%. The secondary 1.5–1.7% outcome at 30% reflects optimism for further moderation absent major utility or fuel adjustments ahead of the September 10 INDEC release.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,342วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July monthly inflation of 2.1% month-over-month, slightly above the 2.0% consensus and up from June’s 1.9%, anchors market-implied odds favoring the 1.8–2.0% bin for August at nearly 50% probability. Traders price in continued gradual disinflation driven by Argentina’s fiscal surplus, tighter monetary policy under the central bank, and peso stability, even as year-over-year rates hover near 33.8%. Analyst surveys and central bank projections point to year-end 2026 inflation around 29–30%, supporting expectations for August readings clustering near or below 2.0%. The secondary 1.5–1.7% outcome at 30% reflects optimism for further moderation absent major utility or fuel adjustments ahead of the September 10 INDEC release.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,342วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July monthly inflation of 2.1% month-over-month, slightly above the 2.0% consensus and up from June’s 1.9%, anchors market-implied odds favoring the 1.8–2.0% bin for August at nearly 50% probability. Traders price in continued gradual disinflation driven by Argentina’s fiscal surplus, tighter monetary policy under the central bank, and peso stability, even as year-over-year rates hover near 33.8%. Analyst surveys and central bank projections point to year-end 2026 inflation around 29–30%, supporting expectations for August readings clustering near or below 2.0%. The secondary 1.5–1.7% outcome at 30% reflects optimism for further moderation absent major utility or fuel adjustments ahead of the September 10 INDEC release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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