South Korea's former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, with appeals pending but no indication of swift reversal by higher courts. A July 2026 Supreme Court ruling upheld a separate seven-year term for obstructing authorities during his arrest, while additional proceedings—including a reported 30-year sentence in another case—have extended his legal exposure. Multiple trials and procedural timelines in the South Korean judicial system make release before the end of 2026 improbable under current conditions. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at over 90% reflects these confirmed verdicts and the slow pace of appeals, absent any major intervening developments such as successful constitutional challenges or executive intervention.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЮн вышел из-под стражи до 2027 года?
Юн вышел из-под стражи до 2027 года?
Да
8% вероятность
$200,294 Объем
$200,294 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Да
8% вероятность
$200,294 Объем
$200,294 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea's former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, with appeals pending but no indication of swift reversal by higher courts. A July 2026 Supreme Court ruling upheld a separate seven-year term for obstructing authorities during his arrest, while additional proceedings—including a reported 30-year sentence in another case—have extended his legal exposure. Multiple trials and procedural timelines in the South Korean judicial system make release before the end of 2026 improbable under current conditions. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at over 90% reflects these confirmed verdicts and the slow pace of appeals, absent any major intervening developments such as successful constitutional challenges or executive intervention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Объем
$200,294Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea's former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, with appeals pending but no indication of swift reversal by higher courts. A July 2026 Supreme Court ruling upheld a separate seven-year term for obstructing authorities during his arrest, while additional proceedings—including a reported 30-year sentence in another case—have extended his legal exposure. Multiple trials and procedural timelines in the South Korean judicial system make release before the end of 2026 improbable under current conditions. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at over 90% reflects these confirmed verdicts and the slow pace of appeals, absent any major intervening developments such as successful constitutional challenges or executive intervention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$200,294Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea's former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the 2024 martial law declaration, with appeals pending but no indication of swift reversal by higher courts. A July 2026 Supreme Court ruling upheld a separate seven-year term for obstructing authorities during his arrest, while additional proceedings—including a reported 30-year sentence in another case—have extended his legal exposure. Multiple trials and procedural timelines in the South Korean judicial system make release before the end of 2026 improbable under current conditions. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at over 90% reflects these confirmed verdicts and the slow pace of appeals, absent any major intervening developments such as successful constitutional challenges or executive intervention.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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