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Мир·BOJ

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

icon for Bank of Japan Decision in October?
Мир·BOJ

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

сент. 18

окт. 30

сент. 18

окт. 30

No change 54%

25 bps increase 44%

50+ bps decrease 2.8%

50+ bps increase 2.6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

No change 54%

25 bps increase 44%

50+ bps decrease 2.8%

50+ bps increase 2.6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

50+ bps decrease

$303 Объем

3%

25 bps decrease

$303 Объем

2%

No change

$1,658 Объем

54%

25 bps increase

$3,370 Объем

44%

50+ bps increase

$303 Объем

3%

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent Bank of Japan communications and July 31, 2026, decision to hold the policy rate at 1.00%—its highest level since 1995—have anchored trader expectations for the October 29-30 meeting. Persistent underlying inflation near or above the 2% target, resilient domestic demand, and wage pressures continue to support gradual normalization, while yen volatility and government interventions introduce caution. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with no change and a 25 basis point hike each commanding roughly even probabilities amid balanced risks cited by the board. Upcoming September data releases and any shifts in growth or price forecasts will likely refine positioning ahead of the October resolution.

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting.

If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Объем
$5,937
Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent Bank of Japan communications and July 31, 2026, decision to hold the policy rate at 1.00%—its highest level since 1995—have anchored trader expectations for the October 29-30 meeting. Persistent underlying inflation near or above the 2% target, resilient domestic demand, and wage pressures continue to support gradual normalization, while yen volatility and government interventions introduce caution. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with no change and a 25 basis point hike each commanding roughly even probabilities amid balanced risks cited by the board. Upcoming September data releases and any shifts in growth or price forecasts will likely refine positioning ahead of the October resolution.

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting.

If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Объем
$5,937
Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Связанные

icon for Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?

Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?

64%
icon for Не будет ли изменений в процентных ставках ФРС после заседания в октябре 2026 года?

Не будет ли изменений в процентных ставках ФРС после заседания в октябре 2026 года?

69%
Да
icon for Оставит ли Банк Канады целевую ставку овернайт без изменений на октябрьском объявлении о процентной ставке?

Оставит ли Банк Канады целевую ставку овернайт без изменений на октябрьском объявлении о процентной ставке?

79%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Bank of Japan Decision in October?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «No change» с 54%, за ним следует «25 bps increase» с 44%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 54¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Bank of Japan Decision in October?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 31, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Bank of Japan Decision in October?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Bank of Japan Decision in October?» — «No change» с 54%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Следующий ближайший исход — «25 bps increase» с 44%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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