**Lee Jae-myung, elected president in South Korea’s June 2025 snap election, benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84 that shields sitting presidents from most criminal prosecution except for insurrection or treason.** Courts have suspended his ongoing trials—including the election-law case remanded by the Supreme Court—citing this protection, with proceedings effectively paused into 2026. Multiple pre-presidency cases remain unresolved but inactive while he holds office, and no new arrests, active warrants, or prosecutorial moves targeting him have emerged since inauguration. This legal framework and the lack of recent escalations underpin trader expectations that arrest before 2027 is improbable, though outcomes could shift if immunity is challenged or new charges outside its scope arise.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛи Чжэ Мён арестован до 2027 года?
Да
$538,080 Объем
$538,080 Объем
Да
$538,080 Объем
$538,080 Объем
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Lee Jae-myung, elected president in South Korea’s June 2025 snap election, benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84 that shields sitting presidents from most criminal prosecution except for insurrection or treason.** Courts have suspended his ongoing trials—including the election-law case remanded by the Supreme Court—citing this protection, with proceedings effectively paused into 2026. Multiple pre-presidency cases remain unresolved but inactive while he holds office, and no new arrests, active warrants, or prosecutorial moves targeting him have emerged since inauguration. This legal framework and the lack of recent escalations underpin trader expectations that arrest before 2027 is improbable, though outcomes could shift if immunity is challenged or new charges outside its scope arise.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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