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Мир·Австралия

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

icon for Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Мир·Австралия

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Anthony Albanese 41%

Angus Taylor 20%

Pauline Hanson 15%

Джим Чалмерс 7.4%

Polymarket

$16,268 Объем

Anthony Albanese 41%

Angus Taylor 20%

Pauline Hanson 15%

Джим Чалмерс 7.4%

Polymarket

$16,268 Объем

icon for Anthony Albanese

Anthony Albanese

$1,452 Объем

41%

icon for Angus Taylor

Angus Taylor

$2,025 Объем

20%

icon for Pauline Hanson

Pauline Hanson

$11,340 Объем

15%

icon for Джим Чалмерс

Джим Чалмерс

$572 Объем

7%

icon for Robbie Katter

Robbie Katter

$391 Объем

1%

icon for Larissa Waters

Larissa Waters

$487 Объем

<1%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Australia's next federal election, due by May 2028, features an open field for prime minister amid stable but competitive polling between Labor and the Coalition, with One Nation gaining ground. Incumbent Anthony Albanese seeks a third term for Labor, while Angus Taylor leads the opposition following a February 2026 transition. Pauline Hanson has signaled readiness to contest the lower house and position One Nation as a potential kingmaker or contender, reflecting primary vote volatility in recent surveys. Internal party dynamics, including possible successors such as Jim Chalmers, alongside minor party influence and economic factors, sustain fragmented trader views across multiple names. Scheduled parliamentary sittings and state-level contests through 2027 could clarify frontrunners before the national vote.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$16,268
Дата окончания
23 сент. 2028 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Australia's next federal election, due by May 2028, features an open field for prime minister amid stable but competitive polling between Labor and the Coalition, with One Nation gaining ground. Incumbent Anthony Albanese seeks a third term for Labor, while Angus Taylor leads the opposition following a February 2026 transition. Pauline Hanson has signaled readiness to contest the lower house and position One Nation as a potential kingmaker or contender, reflecting primary vote volatility in recent surveys. Internal party dynamics, including possible successors such as Jim Chalmers, alongside minor party influence and economic factors, sustain fragmented trader views across multiple names. Scheduled parliamentary sittings and state-level contests through 2027 could clarify frontrunners before the national vote.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$16,268
Дата окончания
23 сент. 2028 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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53%
Да
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97%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Anthony Albanese» с 41%, за ним следует «Angus Taylor» с 20%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 41¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 41%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $16.3K с момента запуска рынка Jun 10, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?» — «Anthony Albanese» с 41%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 41%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Angus Taylor» с 20%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.