Iranian authorities imposed a near-total nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid escalating anti-government protests, then intensified it following U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28 that triggered the 2026 Iran war. The outage, monitored by NetBlocks and others, lasted a record 88 days with connectivity often below 5% of normal levels, using BGP withdrawals, throttling, and the National Information Network to isolate users while preserving limited domestic services. Partial restoration began May 26 after presidential orders, though access stayed slow, restricted, and uneven into September with persistent platform blocks and tiered privileges for favored groups. Ongoing economic pressures, protest risks, and regional tensions remain key variables that could prompt renewed full disruptions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$245,997 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
30 сентября
14%
31 декабря
24%
$245,997 Объем
30 сентября
$5,030 Объем
14%
31 декабря
$11,516 Объем
24%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities imposed a near-total nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid escalating anti-government protests, then intensified it following U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28 that triggered the 2026 Iran war. The outage, monitored by NetBlocks and others, lasted a record 88 days with connectivity often below 5% of normal levels, using BGP withdrawals, throttling, and the National Information Network to isolate users while preserving limited domestic services. Partial restoration began May 26 after presidential orders, though access stayed slow, restricted, and uneven into September with persistent platform blocks and tiered privileges for favored groups. Ongoing economic pressures, protest risks, and regional tensions remain key variables that could prompt renewed full disruptions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Объем
$245,997Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities imposed a near-total nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid escalating anti-government protests, then intensified it following U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28 that triggered the 2026 Iran war. The outage, monitored by NetBlocks and others, lasted a record 88 days with connectivity often below 5% of normal levels, using BGP withdrawals, throttling, and the National Information Network to isolate users while preserving limited domestic services. Partial restoration began May 26 after presidential orders, though access stayed slow, restricted, and uneven into September with persistent platform blocks and tiered privileges for favored groups. Ongoing economic pressures, protest risks, and regional tensions remain key variables that could prompt renewed full disruptions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$245,997Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities imposed a near-total nationwide internet blackout starting January 8, 2026, amid escalating anti-government protests, then intensified it following U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28 that triggered the 2026 Iran war. The outage, monitored by NetBlocks and others, lasted a record 88 days with connectivity often below 5% of normal levels, using BGP withdrawals, throttling, and the National Information Network to isolate users while preserving limited domestic services. Partial restoration began May 26 after presidential orders, though access stayed slow, restricted, and uneven into September with persistent platform blocks and tiered privileges for favored groups. Ongoing economic pressures, protest risks, and regional tensions remain key variables that could prompt renewed full disruptions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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