Iran’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on 28 February 2026 amid the 2026 Iran war, triggering the constitutionally mandated succession process by the Assembly of Experts. Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as his successor in early March and has since assumed the role, issuing appointments to key security positions including Basij commander in August. Trader attention now centers on the new leader’s consolidation of power, internal repression measures, and responses to external pressures such as Strait of Hormuz negotiations and potential U.S. talks. Any further leadership shifts would depend on the stability of this transition, ongoing military and diplomatic developments, and domestic security dynamics through late 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$23,617,315 Объем
22 авг. 2026 г.
22 августа
<1%
31 августа
1%
30 сентября
5%
31 октября
8%
30 ноября
10%
31 декабря
17%
30 июня 2027 года
26%
$23,617,315 Объем
22 августа
$59,911 Объем
<1%
31 августа
$1,180,453 Объем
1%
30 сентября
$465,118 Объем
5%
31 октября
$15,071 Объем
8%
30 ноября
$13,797 Объем
10%
31 декабря
$4,033,573 Объем
17%
30 июня 2027 года
$241,200 Объем
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on 28 February 2026 amid the 2026 Iran war, triggering the constitutionally mandated succession process by the Assembly of Experts. Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as his successor in early March and has since assumed the role, issuing appointments to key security positions including Basij commander in August. Trader attention now centers on the new leader’s consolidation of power, internal repression measures, and responses to external pressures such as Strait of Hormuz negotiations and potential U.S. talks. Any further leadership shifts would depend on the stability of this transition, ongoing military and diplomatic developments, and domestic security dynamics through late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Объем
$23,617,315Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on 28 February 2026 amid the 2026 Iran war, triggering the constitutionally mandated succession process by the Assembly of Experts. Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as his successor in early March and has since assumed the role, issuing appointments to key security positions including Basij commander in August. Trader attention now centers on the new leader’s consolidation of power, internal repression measures, and responses to external pressures such as Strait of Hormuz negotiations and potential U.S. talks. Any further leadership shifts would depend on the stability of this transition, ongoing military and diplomatic developments, and domestic security dynamics through late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$23,617,315Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on 28 February 2026 amid the 2026 Iran war, triggering the constitutionally mandated succession process by the Assembly of Experts. Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as his successor in early March and has since assumed the role, issuing appointments to key security positions including Basij commander in August. Trader attention now centers on the new leader’s consolidation of power, internal repression measures, and responses to external pressures such as Strait of Hormuz negotiations and potential U.S. talks. Any further leadership shifts would depend on the stability of this transition, ongoing military and diplomatic developments, and domestic security dynamics through late 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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