Recent polling from state-affiliated firms shows United Russia maintaining a commanding lead, leaving a fragmented field among the systemic opposition parties for fourth place. New People has posted gains in several surveys by emphasizing domestic issues, while LDPR and KPRF trade positions in the low double digits and A Just Russia trails further back. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko removed one potential spoiler and redistributed limited opposition support. With the election set for 18–20 September under a mixed system featuring electronic voting in dozens of regions, traders view the fourth-place outcome as highly sensitive to small shifts in turnout and administrative mobilization among the remaining registered parties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНовые люди (НЛ) 47%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) 39%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП) 9%
Родина 3.1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
Новые люди (НЛ)
47%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
39%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
9%
Родина
3%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
3%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
1%
Единая Россия (ЕР)
1%
Новые люди (НЛ) 47%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) 39%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП) 9%
Родина 3.1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
Новые люди (НЛ)
$98 Объем
47%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
$185 Объем
39%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
$60 Объем
9%
Родина
$83 Объем
3%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
$503 Объем
3%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
$217 Объем
1%
Единая Россия (ЕР)
$187 Объем
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms shows United Russia maintaining a commanding lead, leaving a fragmented field among the systemic opposition parties for fourth place. New People has posted gains in several surveys by emphasizing domestic issues, while LDPR and KPRF trade positions in the low double digits and A Just Russia trails further back. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko removed one potential spoiler and redistributed limited opposition support. With the election set for 18–20 September under a mixed system featuring electronic voting in dozens of regions, traders view the fourth-place outcome as highly sensitive to small shifts in turnout and administrative mobilization among the remaining registered parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Объем
$1,333Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms shows United Russia maintaining a commanding lead, leaving a fragmented field among the systemic opposition parties for fourth place. New People has posted gains in several surveys by emphasizing domestic issues, while LDPR and KPRF trade positions in the low double digits and A Just Russia trails further back. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko removed one potential spoiler and redistributed limited opposition support. With the election set for 18–20 September under a mixed system featuring electronic voting in dozens of regions, traders view the fourth-place outcome as highly sensitive to small shifts in turnout and administrative mobilization among the remaining registered parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Объем
$1,333Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from state-affiliated firms shows United Russia maintaining a commanding lead, leaving a fragmented field among the systemic opposition parties for fourth place. New People has posted gains in several surveys by emphasizing domestic issues, while LDPR and KPRF trade positions in the low double digits and A Just Russia trails further back. The Supreme Court’s August disqualification of Yabloko removed one potential spoiler and redistributed limited opposition support. With the election set for 18–20 September under a mixed system featuring electronic voting in dozens of regions, traders view the fourth-place outcome as highly sensitive to small shifts in turnout and administrative mobilization among the remaining registered parties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
51%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
85%
Выиграет ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу?
99%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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