Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election place Ra’am, the United Arab List led by Mansour Abbas, at 4–6 seats in most surveys, with the Joint List and other Arab parties splitting the remaining Arab vote. This narrow band reflects stable but modest support among Arab voters, ongoing fragmentation within the Arab parties, and the 3.25% electoral threshold. A late-August announcement exploring a technical bloc with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz produced mixed polling signals and has not yet shifted the consensus range. With party-list submissions due September 8 and Arab turnout sensitive to coalition prospects and broader bloc competition between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition parties, small changes in Arab voter consolidation or turnout could push results toward either the lower or higher end of current projections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<4 34%
8+ 34%
5 32%
6 32%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<4
34%
4
29%
5
32%
6
32%
7
24%
8+
34%
<4 34%
8+ 34%
5 32%
6 32%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<4
$0 Объем
34%
4
$0 Объем
29%
5
$0 Объем
32%
6
$0 Объем
32%
7
$0 Объем
24%
8+
$0 Объем
34%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election place Ra’am, the United Arab List led by Mansour Abbas, at 4–6 seats in most surveys, with the Joint List and other Arab parties splitting the remaining Arab vote. This narrow band reflects stable but modest support among Arab voters, ongoing fragmentation within the Arab parties, and the 3.25% electoral threshold. A late-August announcement exploring a technical bloc with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz produced mixed polling signals and has not yet shifted the consensus range. With party-list submissions due September 8 and Arab turnout sensitive to coalition prospects and broader bloc competition between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition parties, small changes in Arab voter consolidation or turnout could push results toward either the lower or higher end of current projections.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election place Ra’am, the United Arab List led by Mansour Abbas, at 4–6 seats in most surveys, with the Joint List and other Arab parties splitting the remaining Arab vote. This narrow band reflects stable but modest support among Arab voters, ongoing fragmentation within the Arab parties, and the 3.25% electoral threshold. A late-August announcement exploring a technical bloc with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz produced mixed polling signals and has not yet shifted the consensus range. With party-list submissions due September 8 and Arab turnout sensitive to coalition prospects and broader bloc competition between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition parties, small changes in Arab voter consolidation or turnout could push results toward either the lower or higher end of current projections.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election place Ra’am, the United Arab List led by Mansour Abbas, at 4–6 seats in most surveys, with the Joint List and other Arab parties splitting the remaining Arab vote. This narrow band reflects stable but modest support among Arab voters, ongoing fragmentation within the Arab parties, and the 3.25% electoral threshold. A late-August announcement exploring a technical bloc with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz produced mixed polling signals and has not yet shifted the consensus range. With party-list submissions due September 8 and Arab turnout sensitive to coalition prospects and broader bloc competition between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition parties, small changes in Arab voter consolidation or turnout could push results toward either the lower or higher end of current projections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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