**Otzma Yehudit’s seat projection remains tightly contested ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election because recent polling averages place the party at roughly 7–8 mandates amid competition for right-wing voters.** Itamar Ben-Gvir’s decision to run separately from Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party, which hovers near or below the 3.25% threshold, allows Otzma to court dissatisfied Likud and Shas supporters directly while emphasizing a fully right-wing government. Recent list moves, including adding Likud MK Tally Gotliv in early September, aim to broaden appeal but have not yet produced a sustained polling surge. Trader consensus around the 6–9 seat range reflects this volatility, with modest shifts possible from turnout among peripheral and religious voters or last-minute coalition signaling before candidate lists close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Израиле: количество мест в Otzma?
Выборы в Израиле: количество мест в Otzma?
8-9 40%
4-5 33%
6-7 32%
<4 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<4
28%
4-5
33%
6-7
32%
8-9
40%
10+
28%
8-9 40%
4-5 33%
6-7 32%
<4 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<4
$0 Объем
28%
4-5
$0 Объем
33%
6-7
$0 Объем
32%
8-9
$0 Объем
40%
10+
$0 Объем
28%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Otzma Yehudit’s seat projection remains tightly contested ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election because recent polling averages place the party at roughly 7–8 mandates amid competition for right-wing voters.** Itamar Ben-Gvir’s decision to run separately from Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party, which hovers near or below the 3.25% threshold, allows Otzma to court dissatisfied Likud and Shas supporters directly while emphasizing a fully right-wing government. Recent list moves, including adding Likud MK Tally Gotliv in early September, aim to broaden appeal but have not yet produced a sustained polling surge. Trader consensus around the 6–9 seat range reflects this volatility, with modest shifts possible from turnout among peripheral and religious voters or last-minute coalition signaling before candidate lists close.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Otzma Yehudit’s seat projection remains tightly contested ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election because recent polling averages place the party at roughly 7–8 mandates amid competition for right-wing voters.** Itamar Ben-Gvir’s decision to run separately from Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party, which hovers near or below the 3.25% threshold, allows Otzma to court dissatisfied Likud and Shas supporters directly while emphasizing a fully right-wing government. Recent list moves, including adding Likud MK Tally Gotliv in early September, aim to broaden appeal but have not yet produced a sustained polling surge. Trader consensus around the 6–9 seat range reflects this volatility, with modest shifts possible from turnout among peripheral and religious voters or last-minute coalition signaling before candidate lists close.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Otzma Yehudit’s seat projection remains tightly contested ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election because recent polling averages place the party at roughly 7–8 mandates amid competition for right-wing voters.** Itamar Ben-Gvir’s decision to run separately from Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party, which hovers near or below the 3.25% threshold, allows Otzma to court dissatisfied Likud and Shas supporters directly while emphasizing a fully right-wing government. Recent list moves, including adding Likud MK Tally Gotliv in early September, aim to broaden appeal but have not yet produced a sustained polling surge. Trader consensus around the 6–9 seat range reflects this volatility, with modest shifts possible from turnout among peripheral and religious voters or last-minute coalition signaling before candidate lists close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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