Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Likud projected between roughly 21 and 31 seats, with most mainstream surveys clustering in the low-to-mid 20s amid direct competition from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. Trader positioning in the narrow 20-29 seat range reflects ongoing volatility driven by Likud's August primaries, which produced a new slate led by Eli Cohen but yielded mixed post-vote polling gains. Broader dynamics include voter fatigue with the incumbent coalition, security-related polarization following the October 7 attacks and subsequent conflicts, and the challenge of assembling a 61-seat majority without relying on smaller religious or Arab parties. Fluctuations in survey methodology and bloc alignments continue to keep outcomes closely contested ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено20-24 33%
25-29 29%
<20 18.1%
30-34 18%
$102,395 Объем
$102,395 Объем
26 окт. 2026 г.
<20
18%
20-24
33%
25-29
29%
30-34
18%
35+
6%
20-24 33%
25-29 29%
<20 18.1%
30-34 18%
$102,395 Объем
$102,395 Объем
26 окт. 2026 г.
<20
$33,123 Объем
18%
20-24
$15,595 Объем
33%
25-29
$24,708 Объем
29%
30-34
$19,721 Объем
18%
35+
$9,249 Объем
6%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Likud projected between roughly 21 and 31 seats, with most mainstream surveys clustering in the low-to-mid 20s amid direct competition from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. Trader positioning in the narrow 20-29 seat range reflects ongoing volatility driven by Likud's August primaries, which produced a new slate led by Eli Cohen but yielded mixed post-vote polling gains. Broader dynamics include voter fatigue with the incumbent coalition, security-related polarization following the October 7 attacks and subsequent conflicts, and the challenge of assembling a 61-seat majority without relying on smaller religious or Arab parties. Fluctuations in survey methodology and bloc alignments continue to keep outcomes closely contested ahead of the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Объем
$102,395Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Likud projected between roughly 21 and 31 seats, with most mainstream surveys clustering in the low-to-mid 20s amid direct competition from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. Trader positioning in the narrow 20-29 seat range reflects ongoing volatility driven by Likud's August primaries, which produced a new slate led by Eli Cohen but yielded mixed post-vote polling gains. Broader dynamics include voter fatigue with the incumbent coalition, security-related polarization following the October 7 attacks and subsequent conflicts, and the challenge of assembling a 61-seat majority without relying on smaller religious or Arab parties. Fluctuations in survey methodology and bloc alignments continue to keep outcomes closely contested ahead of the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$102,395Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Likud projected between roughly 21 and 31 seats, with most mainstream surveys clustering in the low-to-mid 20s amid direct competition from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. Trader positioning in the narrow 20-29 seat range reflects ongoing volatility driven by Likud's August primaries, which produced a new slate led by Eli Cohen but yielded mixed post-vote polling gains. Broader dynamics include voter fatigue with the incumbent coalition, security-related polarization following the October 7 attacks and subsequent conflicts, and the challenge of assembling a 61-seat majority without relying on smaller religious or Arab parties. Fluctuations in survey methodology and bloc alignments continue to keep outcomes closely contested ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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