Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli legislative election shows United Torah Judaism, the Ashkenazi Haredi party, holding steady at 7-8 Knesset seats across multiple surveys conducted in early September. This range reflects consistent support within its core voter base amid ongoing debates over military conscription exemptions and religious funding priorities. The tight spread between 7-8 and 9-10 outcomes in trader pricing aligns with limited volatility in Haredi turnout patterns and the absence of major shifts from new party entries or list mergers before the September 9 submission deadline. Factors that could widen the range include stronger-than-expected mobilization on draft-related issues or changes in broader right-wing bloc dynamics affecting coalition incentives for ultra-Orthodox voters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Израиле: количество мест в UTJ?
Выборы в Израиле: количество мест в UTJ?
9-10 44%
7-8 36%
<7 29%
11+ 29%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<7
29%
7-8
36%
9-10
44%
11+
29%
9-10 44%
7-8 36%
<7 29%
11+ 29%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<7
$0 Объем
29%
7-8
$0 Объем
36%
9-10
$0 Объем
44%
11+
$0 Объем
29%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli legislative election shows United Torah Judaism, the Ashkenazi Haredi party, holding steady at 7-8 Knesset seats across multiple surveys conducted in early September. This range reflects consistent support within its core voter base amid ongoing debates over military conscription exemptions and religious funding priorities. The tight spread between 7-8 and 9-10 outcomes in trader pricing aligns with limited volatility in Haredi turnout patterns and the absence of major shifts from new party entries or list mergers before the September 9 submission deadline. Factors that could widen the range include stronger-than-expected mobilization on draft-related issues or changes in broader right-wing bloc dynamics affecting coalition incentives for ultra-Orthodox voters.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli legislative election shows United Torah Judaism, the Ashkenazi Haredi party, holding steady at 7-8 Knesset seats across multiple surveys conducted in early September. This range reflects consistent support within its core voter base amid ongoing debates over military conscription exemptions and religious funding priorities. The tight spread between 7-8 and 9-10 outcomes in trader pricing aligns with limited volatility in Haredi turnout patterns and the absence of major shifts from new party entries or list mergers before the September 9 submission deadline. Factors that could widen the range include stronger-than-expected mobilization on draft-related issues or changes in broader right-wing bloc dynamics affecting coalition incentives for ultra-Orthodox voters.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli legislative election shows United Torah Judaism, the Ashkenazi Haredi party, holding steady at 7-8 Knesset seats across multiple surveys conducted in early September. This range reflects consistent support within its core voter base amid ongoing debates over military conscription exemptions and religious funding priorities. The tight spread between 7-8 and 9-10 outcomes in trader pricing aligns with limited volatility in Haredi turnout patterns and the absence of major shifts from new party entries or list mergers before the September 9 submission deadline. Factors that could widen the range include stronger-than-expected mobilization on draft-related issues or changes in broader right-wing bloc dynamics affecting coalition incentives for ultra-Orthodox voters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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