Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows the re-formed Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) typically projected at 6-8 seats, reflecting consolidated Arab voter support that helps clear the 3.25% threshold more reliably than separate runs. Trader consensus around 6-7 seats aligns with late August and early September surveys from firms like Midgam, Lazar, and Tatika, where the alliance averages in that band amid stable but modest Arab turnout expectations. Broader bloc dynamics, including competition from Ra'am and Zionist opposition parties, limit upside potential, while any surge in Arab participation or further list unification could shift outcomes higher. The market prices capture this polling stability without strong catalysts for major deviation in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено6-7 56%
<6 26%
10-11 26%
8–9 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<6
26%
6-7
56%
8–9
25%
10-11
26%
12+
21%
6-7 56%
<6 26%
10-11 26%
8–9 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<6
$0 Объем
26%
6-7
$10 Объем
56%
8–9
$0 Объем
25%
10-11
$0 Объем
26%
12+
$0 Объем
21%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows the re-formed Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) typically projected at 6-8 seats, reflecting consolidated Arab voter support that helps clear the 3.25% threshold more reliably than separate runs. Trader consensus around 6-7 seats aligns with late August and early September surveys from firms like Midgam, Lazar, and Tatika, where the alliance averages in that band amid stable but modest Arab turnout expectations. Broader bloc dynamics, including competition from Ra'am and Zionist opposition parties, limit upside potential, while any surge in Arab participation or further list unification could shift outcomes higher. The market prices capture this polling stability without strong catalysts for major deviation in the final weeks.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Объем
$10Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows the re-formed Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) typically projected at 6-8 seats, reflecting consolidated Arab voter support that helps clear the 3.25% threshold more reliably than separate runs. Trader consensus around 6-7 seats aligns with late August and early September surveys from firms like Midgam, Lazar, and Tatika, where the alliance averages in that band amid stable but modest Arab turnout expectations. Broader bloc dynamics, including competition from Ra'am and Zionist opposition parties, limit upside potential, while any surge in Arab participation or further list unification could shift outcomes higher. The market prices capture this polling stability without strong catalysts for major deviation in the final weeks.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$10Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows the re-formed Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) typically projected at 6-8 seats, reflecting consolidated Arab voter support that helps clear the 3.25% threshold more reliably than separate runs. Trader consensus around 6-7 seats aligns with late August and early September surveys from firms like Midgam, Lazar, and Tatika, where the alliance averages in that band amid stable but modest Arab turnout expectations. Broader bloc dynamics, including competition from Ra'am and Zionist opposition parties, limit upside potential, while any surge in Arab participation or further list unification could shift outcomes higher. The market prices capture this polling stability without strong catalysts for major deviation in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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