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icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Гуама
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

Победитель выборов губернатора Гуама

icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Гуама
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

Победитель выборов губернатора Гуама

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Терез Терлайе (Д)

Терез Терлайе (Д)

$671 Объем

66%

icon for Висенте Ада (Р)

Висенте Ада (Р)

$415 Объем

34%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Therese Terlaje secured the Democratic nomination after narrowly defeating Lt. Gov. Joshua Tenorio in the August 1 primary, positioning her as the frontrunner in a territory with a consistent Democratic advantage in recent gubernatorial contests. Vicente Ada advanced comfortably on the Republican side following his primary win, yet faces structural headwinds as the GOP nominee. Recent candidate forums have highlighted shared priorities on economic development, childcare costs, and public health, but trader pricing aligns with historical patterns favoring Democrats in Guam's general elections. The November 3 contest remains the key resolution trigger, with limited late-cycle shifts reported so far.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Объем
$1,087
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Therese Terlaje secured the Democratic nomination after narrowly defeating Lt. Gov. Joshua Tenorio in the August 1 primary, positioning her as the frontrunner in a territory with a consistent Democratic advantage in recent gubernatorial contests. Vicente Ada advanced comfortably on the Republican side following his primary win, yet faces structural headwinds as the GOP nominee. Recent candidate forums have highlighted shared priorities on economic development, childcare costs, and public health, but trader pricing aligns with historical patterns favoring Democrats in Guam's general elections. The November 3 contest remains the key resolution trigger, with limited late-cycle shifts reported so far.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Объем
$1,087
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Победит ли Джонатан Крайсс-Томкинс на выборах губернатора Аляски в 2026 году?

Победит ли Джонатан Крайсс-Томкинс на выборах губернатора Аляски в 2026 году?

61%
Да
icon for Победит ли кандидат от Демократической партии на выборах в вице-губернаторы штата Джорджия в 2026 году?

Победит ли кандидат от Демократической партии на выборах в вице-губернаторы штата Джорджия в 2026 году?

52%
Да
icon for Победит ли кандидат от Демократической партии на выборах государственного секретаря Джорджии в 2026 году?

Победит ли кандидат от Демократической партии на выборах государственного секретаря Джорджии в 2026 году?

52%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов губернатора Гуама» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Терез Терлайе (Д)» с 66%, за ним следует «Висенте Ада (Р)» с 34%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 66¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 66%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов губернатора Гуама» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 4, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов губернатора Гуама», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов губернатора Гуама» — «Терез Терлайе (Д)» с 66%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 66%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Висенте Ада (Р)» с 34%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов губернатора Гуама» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.