**James Talarico leads market pricing for winning Tarrant County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race because the general-election matchup against Ken Paxton has increased Democratic competitiveness in suburban areas.** Paxton secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May 26 runoff, carrying Tarrant County by roughly 20 points amid strong Trump backing. Talarico won the Democratic primary earlier and has built substantial fundraising while positioning himself as a pragmatic alternative. Forecasters rate the statewide contest a toss-up or lean Republican, yet Paxton’s legal history and polarizing profile have prompted some suburban voters to shift toward Democrats, consistent with recent special-election results in Tarrant County state Senate districts. Trader consensus reflected in the 67.5% price for Talarico versus 18.5% for Paxton incorporates these dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election, with multiple minor candidates and “other” options priced at 50%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Сенат Техаса: победитель округа Таррант
Выборы в Сенат Техаса: победитель округа Таррант
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джеймс Таларико (Д)
67%
Кен Пакстон (Р)
19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джеймс Таларико (Д)
$3,283 Объем
67%
Кен Пакстон (Р)
$143 Объем
19%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.**James Talarico leads market pricing for winning Tarrant County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race because the general-election matchup against Ken Paxton has increased Democratic competitiveness in suburban areas.**
Paxton secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May 26 runoff, carrying Tarrant County by roughly 20 points amid strong Trump backing. Talarico won the Democratic primary earlier and has built substantial fundraising while positioning himself as a pragmatic alternative. Forecasters rate the statewide contest a toss-up or lean Republican, yet Paxton’s legal history and polarizing profile have prompted some suburban voters to shift toward Democrats, consistent with recent special-election results in Tarrant County state Senate districts.
Trader consensus reflected in the 67.5% price for Talarico versus 18.5% for Paxton incorporates these dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election, with multiple minor candidates and “other” options priced at 50%.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Объем
$3,426Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 1:32 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.**James Talarico leads market pricing for winning Tarrant County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race because the general-election matchup against Ken Paxton has increased Democratic competitiveness in suburban areas.**
Paxton secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May 26 runoff, carrying Tarrant County by roughly 20 points amid strong Trump backing. Talarico won the Democratic primary earlier and has built substantial fundraising while positioning himself as a pragmatic alternative. Forecasters rate the statewide contest a toss-up or lean Republican, yet Paxton’s legal history and polarizing profile have prompted some suburban voters to shift toward Democrats, consistent with recent special-election results in Tarrant County state Senate districts.
Trader consensus reflected in the 67.5% price for Talarico versus 18.5% for Paxton incorporates these dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election, with multiple minor candidates and “other” options priced at 50%.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.
Объем
$3,426Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 1:32 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**James Talarico leads market pricing for winning Tarrant County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race because the general-election matchup against Ken Paxton has increased Democratic competitiveness in suburban areas.** Paxton secured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the May 26 runoff, carrying Tarrant County by roughly 20 points amid strong Trump backing. Talarico won the Democratic primary earlier and has built substantial fundraising while positioning himself as a pragmatic alternative. Forecasters rate the statewide contest a toss-up or lean Republican, yet Paxton’s legal history and polarizing profile have prompted some suburban voters to shift toward Democrats, consistent with recent special-election results in Tarrant County state Senate districts. Trader consensus reflected in the 67.5% price for Talarico versus 18.5% for Paxton incorporates these dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election, with multiple minor candidates and “other” options priced at 50%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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