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icon for Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?
Экономика·Глобальные тарифы

Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?

icon for Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?
Экономика·Глобальные тарифы

Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?

сент. 30

сент. 30

Без изменений 94.9%

Снижение 4.5%

Повышение <1%

Polymarket

$50,664 Объем

Без изменений 94.9%

Снижение 4.5%

Повышение <1%

Polymarket

$50,664 Объем

Повышение

$5,351 Объем

<1%

Без изменений

$23,489 Объем

95%

Снижение

$21,824 Объем

5%

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has maintained its one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and five-year rate at 3.5% for 15 consecutive months through August 2026, reflecting a steady policy of calibrating liquidity via structural tools and overnight reverse repo operations rather than benchmark shifts. Recent official statements emphasize an appropriately accommodative stance focused on transmission improvements, short-term rate corridors, and counter-cyclical adjustments amid uneven growth, resilient exports, and subdued domestic demand. This pattern, combined with no fresh signals of imminent easing or tightening ahead of the September 30 window, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for no change. A sharp deterioration in key data releases, escalation in external pressures such as trade frictions or energy shocks, or an explicit policy pivot announcement could still open scope for movement before the cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).

An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.

An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Объем
$50,664
Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has maintained its one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and five-year rate at 3.5% for 15 consecutive months through August 2026, reflecting a steady policy of calibrating liquidity via structural tools and overnight reverse repo operations rather than benchmark shifts. Recent official statements emphasize an appropriately accommodative stance focused on transmission improvements, short-term rate corridors, and counter-cyclical adjustments amid uneven growth, resilient exports, and subdued domestic demand. This pattern, combined with no fresh signals of imminent easing or tightening ahead of the September 30 window, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for no change. A sharp deterioration in key data releases, escalation in external pressures such as trade frictions or energy shocks, or an explicit policy pivot announcement could still open scope for movement before the cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).

An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.

If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.

An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Объем
$50,664
Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Увеличит ли Резервный банк Южной Африки ставку репо после сентябрьского заседания?

Увеличит ли Резервный банк Южной Африки ставку репо после сентябрьского заседания?

58%
Да
icon for Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

98%
icon for Объявит ли ЕЦБ о повышении на 25 б.п. на заседании в сентябре 2026 года?

Объявит ли ЕЦБ о повышении на 25 б.п. на заседании в сентябре 2026 года?

99%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Без изменений» с 95%, за ним следует «Снижение» с 5%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 95¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 95%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $50.7K с момента запуска рынка Jun 30, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?» — «Без изменений» с 95%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 95%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Снижение» с 5%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Изменение курса Народного банка Китая к 30 сентября?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.