Recent July 2026 FOMC deliberations, featuring a 9-3 vote to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% amid three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, underscore the divided committee stance driving evenly matched Polymarket probabilities for December dissent counts. Elevated inflation near 3.5% year-over-year, fueled by Middle East supply shocks, contrasts with a stable labor market at roughly 4.2% unemployment, leaving room for both hawkish and dovish shifts depending on incoming CPI, PCE, and employment data. Market-implied rate paths now tilt toward potential tightening later in 2026, amplifying uncertainty around how many participants will break from consensus by year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 24.1%
3 22%
4+ 21%
0 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 дек. 2026 г.
0
19%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4+
21%
2 24.1%
3 22%
4+ 21%
0 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 дек. 2026 г.
0
$5,105 Объем
19%
1
$214 Объем
17%
2
$54 Объем
24%
3
$65 Объем
22%
4+
$61 Объем
21%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent July 2026 FOMC deliberations, featuring a 9-3 vote to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% amid three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, underscore the divided committee stance driving evenly matched Polymarket probabilities for December dissent counts. Elevated inflation near 3.5% year-over-year, fueled by Middle East supply shocks, contrasts with a stable labor market at roughly 4.2% unemployment, leaving room for both hawkish and dovish shifts depending on incoming CPI, PCE, and employment data. Market-implied rate paths now tilt toward potential tightening later in 2026, amplifying uncertainty around how many participants will break from consensus by year-end.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Объем
$5,499Дата окончания
9 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent July 2026 FOMC deliberations, featuring a 9-3 vote to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% amid three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, underscore the divided committee stance driving evenly matched Polymarket probabilities for December dissent counts. Elevated inflation near 3.5% year-over-year, fueled by Middle East supply shocks, contrasts with a stable labor market at roughly 4.2% unemployment, leaving room for both hawkish and dovish shifts depending on incoming CPI, PCE, and employment data. Market-implied rate paths now tilt toward potential tightening later in 2026, amplifying uncertainty around how many participants will break from consensus by year-end.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$5,499Дата окончания
9 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 FOMC deliberations, featuring a 9-3 vote to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% amid three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, underscore the divided committee stance driving evenly matched Polymarket probabilities for December dissent counts. Elevated inflation near 3.5% year-over-year, fueled by Middle East supply shocks, contrasts with a stable labor market at roughly 4.2% unemployment, leaving room for both hawkish and dovish shifts depending on incoming CPI, PCE, and employment data. Market-implied rate paths now tilt toward potential tightening later in 2026, amplifying uncertainty around how many participants will break from consensus by year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы