**Forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC project a minimum temperature near 25–28°C for Wuhan on August 26, 2026, under persistent subtropical high pressure that favors clear skies and light easterly winds.** This late-summer regime in the Yangtze River basin typically produces muggy conditions with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity and urban heat from the city's numerous lakes. Differentiation among the tightly clustered market outcomes (roughly 24–30% implied probability across bins from ≤23°C to ≥33°C) hinges on small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal moisture that could raise or lower the overnight low by 2–4°C. Historical climatology shows August minima averaging ~26–27°C, with model spread reflecting typical short-range forecast uncertainty two days out.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 26 августа?
23°C or below 55%
33°C or higher 55%
26°C 49%
24°C 47%
23°C or below
55%
24°C
47%
25°C
47%
26°C
49%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
24%
30°C
47%
31°C
2%
32°C
37%
33°C or higher
55%
23°C or below 55%
33°C or higher 55%
26°C 49%
24°C 47%
23°C or below
55%
24°C
47%
25°C
47%
26°C
49%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
24%
30°C
47%
31°C
2%
32°C
37%
33°C or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC project a minimum temperature near 25–28°C for Wuhan on August 26, 2026, under persistent subtropical high pressure that favors clear skies and light easterly winds.** This late-summer regime in the Yangtze River basin typically produces muggy conditions with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity and urban heat from the city's numerous lakes. Differentiation among the tightly clustered market outcomes (roughly 24–30% implied probability across bins from ≤23°C to ≥33°C) hinges on small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal moisture that could raise or lower the overnight low by 2–4°C. Historical climatology shows August minima averaging ~26–27°C, with model spread reflecting typical short-range forecast uncertainty two days out.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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