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icon for Самая низкая температура в Ухане 26 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Ухане 26 августа?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Ухане 26 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Ухане 26 августа?

23°C or below 55%

33°C or higher 55%

26°C 49%

24°C 47%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

23°C or below 55%

33°C or higher 55%

26°C 49%

24°C 47%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

23°C or below

$0 Объем

55%

24°C

$0 Объем

47%

25°C

$0 Объем

47%

26°C

$0 Объем

49%

27°C

$0 Объем

26%

28°C

$0 Объем

26%

29°C

$0 Объем

24%

30°C

$0 Объем

47%

31°C

$0 Объем

2%

32°C

$0 Объем

37%

33°C or higher

$0 Объем

55%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC project a minimum temperature near 25–28°C for Wuhan on August 26, 2026, under persistent subtropical high pressure that favors clear skies and light easterly winds.** This late-summer regime in the Yangtze River basin typically produces muggy conditions with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity and urban heat from the city's numerous lakes. Differentiation among the tightly clustered market outcomes (roughly 24–30% implied probability across bins from ≤23°C to ≥33°C) hinges on small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal moisture that could raise or lower the overnight low by 2–4°C. Historical climatology shows August minima averaging ~26–27°C, with model spread reflecting typical short-range forecast uncertainty two days out.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC project a minimum temperature near 25–28°C for Wuhan on August 26, 2026, under persistent subtropical high pressure that favors clear skies and light easterly winds.** This late-summer regime in the Yangtze River basin typically produces muggy conditions with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity and urban heat from the city's numerous lakes. Differentiation among the tightly clustered market outcomes (roughly 24–30% implied probability across bins from ≤23°C to ≥33°C) hinges on small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal moisture that could raise or lower the overnight low by 2–4°C. Historical climatology shows August minima averaging ~26–27°C, with model spread reflecting typical short-range forecast uncertainty two days out.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Ухане 26 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «23°C or below» с 28%, за ним следует «33°C or higher» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 28¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Ухане 26 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 24, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Ухане 26 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Ухане 26 августа?» — «23°C or below» с 28%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Следующий ближайший исход — «33°C or higher» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Ухане 26 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.