Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 31–32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Southerly winds advect warmer maritime air while limited cloud cover allows strong insolation during peak solar heating hours, yet variable afternoon cumulus or a weak sea-breeze circulation could shave 1°C off the maximum. Historical late-August baselines average near 31°C, and the Japan Meteorological Agency’s latest guidance shows no significant frontal passage or typhoon influence through the period. Traders weigh these boundary-layer dynamics against model spread in timing of the daily peak, with fresh JMA updates and ensemble runs expected to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 24 августа?
32°C 38%
33°C 29%
31°C 13%
34°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
38%
33°C
29%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 38%
33°C 29%
31°C 13%
34°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$1,424 Объем
<1%
26°C
$905 Объем
<1%
27°C
$1,074 Объем
<1%
28°C
$235 Объем
1%
29°C
$527 Объем
2%
30°C
$438 Объем
6%
31°C
$2,028 Объем
13%
32°C
$552 Объем
38%
33°C
$849 Объем
29%
34°C
$1,086 Объем
8%
35°C or higher
$202 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 31–32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Southerly winds advect warmer maritime air while limited cloud cover allows strong insolation during peak solar heating hours, yet variable afternoon cumulus or a weak sea-breeze circulation could shave 1°C off the maximum. Historical late-August baselines average near 31°C, and the Japan Meteorological Agency’s latest guidance shows no significant frontal passage or typhoon influence through the period. Traders weigh these boundary-layer dynamics against model spread in timing of the daily peak, with fresh JMA updates and ensemble runs expected to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$9,320Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 31–32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Southerly winds advect warmer maritime air while limited cloud cover allows strong insolation during peak solar heating hours, yet variable afternoon cumulus or a weak sea-breeze circulation could shave 1°C off the maximum. Historical late-August baselines average near 31°C, and the Japan Meteorological Agency’s latest guidance shows no significant frontal passage or typhoon influence through the period. Traders weigh these boundary-layer dynamics against model spread in timing of the daily peak, with fresh JMA updates and ensemble runs expected to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,320Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 31–32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Southerly winds advect warmer maritime air while limited cloud cover allows strong insolation during peak solar heating hours, yet variable afternoon cumulus or a weak sea-breeze circulation could shave 1°C off the maximum. Historical late-August baselines average near 31°C, and the Japan Meteorological Agency’s latest guidance shows no significant frontal passage or typhoon influence through the period. Traders weigh these boundary-layer dynamics against model spread in timing of the daily peak, with fresh JMA updates and ensemble runs expected to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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