Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance issued August 23 forecasts a Tokyo minimum of 25°C for August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points near 23–24°C, anchoring the near-even market split between 25°C and 26°C. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in urban heat-island retention or overnight cloud cover introduce enough variability that traders assign meaningful probability to either threshold, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability given the stable subtropical ridge and absence of significant frontal or convective cooling. Resolution hinges on the official Tokyo observation at the designated station, where even small forecast adjustments from the next model runs could shift implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 24 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 24 августа?
25°C 50%
26°C 41%
23°C 9%
24°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
7%
25°C
50%
26°C
41%
27°C
6%
28°C
6%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
26°C 41%
23°C 9%
24°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$38 Объем
<1%
20°C
$15 Объем
<1%
21°C
$15 Объем
<1%
22°C
$190 Объем
2%
23°C
$602 Объем
9%
24°C
$184 Объем
7%
25°C
$461 Объем
50%
26°C
$256 Объем
41%
27°C
$179 Объем
6%
28°C
$90 Объем
6%
29°C or higher
$140 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance issued August 23 forecasts a Tokyo minimum of 25°C for August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points near 23–24°C, anchoring the near-even market split between 25°C and 26°C. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in urban heat-island retention or overnight cloud cover introduce enough variability that traders assign meaningful probability to either threshold, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability given the stable subtropical ridge and absence of significant frontal or convective cooling. Resolution hinges on the official Tokyo observation at the designated station, where even small forecast adjustments from the next model runs could shift implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$2,170Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance issued August 23 forecasts a Tokyo minimum of 25°C for August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points near 23–24°C, anchoring the near-even market split between 25°C and 26°C. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in urban heat-island retention or overnight cloud cover introduce enough variability that traders assign meaningful probability to either threshold, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability given the stable subtropical ridge and absence of significant frontal or convective cooling. Resolution hinges on the official Tokyo observation at the designated station, where even small forecast adjustments from the next model runs could shift implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,170Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance issued August 23 forecasts a Tokyo minimum of 25°C for August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points near 23–24°C, anchoring the near-even market split between 25°C and 26°C. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in urban heat-island retention or overnight cloud cover introduce enough variability that traders assign meaningful probability to either threshold, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low-probability given the stable subtropical ridge and absence of significant frontal or convective cooling. Resolution hinges on the official Tokyo observation at the designated station, where even small forecast adjustments from the next model runs could shift implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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