Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate typical midsummer conditions for Wuhan on August 25, with nighttime lows projected near 25–27°C amid high humidity and light easterly winds. This aligns with climatological baselines where August minima rarely drop below 23°C or exceed 30°C without unusual frontal activity or heavy rain cooling the boundary layer. The near-even market odds on extremes (≤23°C or ≥33°C) capture residual uncertainty in local factors such as urban heat island effects, exact cloud cover, or steering patterns that could shift the daily minimum by several degrees. Updated regional model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten trader consensus around the most probable 25–27°C range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 25 августа?
23°C or below 86%
30°C 45%
32°C 45%
33°C or higher 43%
23°C or below
86%
24°C
24%
25°C
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
28%
28°C
28%
29°C
23%
30°C
45%
31°C
1%
32°C
45%
33°C or higher
43%
23°C or below 86%
30°C 45%
32°C 45%
33°C or higher 43%
23°C or below
86%
24°C
24%
25°C
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
28%
28°C
28%
29°C
23%
30°C
45%
31°C
1%
32°C
45%
33°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC indicate typical midsummer conditions for Wuhan on August 25, with nighttime lows projected near 25–27°C amid high humidity and light easterly winds. This aligns with climatological baselines where August minima rarely drop below 23°C or exceed 30°C without unusual frontal activity or heavy rain cooling the boundary layer. The near-even market odds on extremes (≤23°C or ≥33°C) capture residual uncertainty in local factors such as urban heat island effects, exact cloud cover, or steering patterns that could shift the daily minimum by several degrees. Updated regional model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten trader consensus around the most probable 25–27°C range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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