Current numerical weather prediction models favor a daytime maximum of 34–36°C in Wuhan on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 36°C (41.5%) and 35°C (30%) outcomes. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge supports clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, while light northeast winds and elevated humidity (typically 65–85%) limit nocturnal cooling and enhance daytime heat retention in the region’s humid subtropical climate. Recent ensemble runs show low spread, consistent with the prior day’s 35°C high and late-August climatology of 33–38°C peaks. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily ahead of final observational data from local meteorological services.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 24 августа?
36°C 41%
35°C 31%
37°C или выше 15%
34°C 11%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
31%
36°C
41%
37°C или выше
15%
36°C 41%
35°C 31%
37°C или выше 15%
34°C 11%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
31%
36°C
41%
37°C или выше
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models favor a daytime maximum of 34–36°C in Wuhan on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 36°C (41.5%) and 35°C (30%) outcomes. A persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge supports clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, while light northeast winds and elevated humidity (typically 65–85%) limit nocturnal cooling and enhance daytime heat retention in the region’s humid subtropical climate. Recent ensemble runs show low spread, consistent with the prior day’s 35°C high and late-August climatology of 33–38°C peaks. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily ahead of final observational data from local meteorological services.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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