**Persistent late-summer heat and humidity in Wuhan's subtropical climate, reinforced by official forecasts showing overnight lows of 27–28 °C, are anchoring trader consensus around the 26–28 °C outcomes.** Multiple models and local meteorological updates issued on August 23 project a minimum near 27 °C for August 24 amid partly cloudy skies, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and light northeast winds that limit radiational cooling. A heat yellow warning highlights daytime maxima of 35 °C or higher, sustaining elevated dew points and overnight warmth. Historical August averages near 25–26 °C are being exceeded due to the current heat episode, while any clearer breaks or heavier rain could nudge the low slightly lower or keep it at 28 °C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow forecast range and limited expected variability before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 24 августа?
32°C или выше 57%
31°C 46%
28°C 44%
26°C 29%
22°C или ниже
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
21%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
28%
28°C
44%
29°C
27%
30°C
5%
31°C
46%
32°C или выше
57%
32°C или выше 57%
31°C 46%
28°C 44%
26°C 29%
22°C или ниже
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
21%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
28%
28°C
44%
29°C
27%
30°C
5%
31°C
46%
32°C или выше
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent late-summer heat and humidity in Wuhan's subtropical climate, reinforced by official forecasts showing overnight lows of 27–28 °C, are anchoring trader consensus around the 26–28 °C outcomes.** Multiple models and local meteorological updates issued on August 23 project a minimum near 27 °C for August 24 amid partly cloudy skies, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and light northeast winds that limit radiational cooling. A heat yellow warning highlights daytime maxima of 35 °C or higher, sustaining elevated dew points and overnight warmth. Historical August averages near 25–26 °C are being exceeded due to the current heat episode, while any clearer breaks or heavier rain could nudge the low slightly lower or keep it at 28 °C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow forecast range and limited expected variability before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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