Traders have converged on a 27°C daily minimum for Wuhan on August 23 with overwhelming 95% implied probability because official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and regional models consistently project overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold amid typical late-summer Yangtze basin conditions. High pressure and limited advection of cooler air maintain elevated minimum temperatures, consistent with climatological baselines where August overnight lows average 26–28°C. This positioning reflects real-time model consensus rather than speculation. A late-arriving frontal boundary, enhanced cloud cover with heavy showers, or localized station measurement differences could still shift the recorded low into the 26°C bracket, though such developments remain low-probability based on current guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 23 августа?
27°C 99%
25°C 2%
26°C 2%
24°C <1%
$3,236 Объем
$3,236 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99%
25°C 2%
26°C 2%
24°C <1%
$3,236 Объем
$3,236 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on a 27°C daily minimum for Wuhan on August 23 with overwhelming 95% implied probability because official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and regional models consistently project overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold amid typical late-summer Yangtze basin conditions. High pressure and limited advection of cooler air maintain elevated minimum temperatures, consistent with climatological baselines where August overnight lows average 26–28°C. This positioning reflects real-time model consensus rather than speculation. A late-arriving frontal boundary, enhanced cloud cover with heavy showers, or localized station measurement differences could still shift the recorded low into the 26°C bracket, though such developments remain low-probability based on current guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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