Recent forecast models indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on August 17 near 24–26°C, shaped by subtropical monsoon conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that suppress radiative cooling. Seasonal baselines show typical August minima around 25–27°C, with current guidance from sources like timeanddate.com projecting 24–25°C lows under overcast skies. These factors position 25–26°C as leading market-implied outcomes by aligning with expected atmospheric stability and limited diurnal temperature swings. No major cold fronts or typhoon influences appear in near-term data, though updated model runs could adjust probabilities if clearer conditions emerge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 17 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 17 августа?
26°C 42%
25°C 28%
27°C 13%
23°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
7%
25°C
29%
26°C
42%
27°C
13%
28°C
6%
29°C или выше
1%
26°C 42%
25°C 28%
27°C 13%
23°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$5 Объем
4%
20°C
$5 Объем
4%
21°C
$5 Объем
2%
22°C
$10 Объем
7%
23°C
$5 Объем
11%
24°C
$134 Объем
7%
25°C
$21 Объем
29%
26°C
$57 Объем
42%
27°C
$27 Объем
13%
28°C
$25 Объем
6%
29°C или выше
$5 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on August 17 near 24–26°C, shaped by subtropical monsoon conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that suppress radiative cooling. Seasonal baselines show typical August minima around 25–27°C, with current guidance from sources like timeanddate.com projecting 24–25°C lows under overcast skies. These factors position 25–26°C as leading market-implied outcomes by aligning with expected atmospheric stability and limited diurnal temperature swings. No major cold fronts or typhoon influences appear in near-term data, though updated model runs could adjust probabilities if clearer conditions emerge.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$299Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on August 17 near 24–26°C, shaped by subtropical monsoon conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that suppress radiative cooling. Seasonal baselines show typical August minima around 25–27°C, with current guidance from sources like timeanddate.com projecting 24–25°C lows under overcast skies. These factors position 25–26°C as leading market-implied outcomes by aligning with expected atmospheric stability and limited diurnal temperature swings. No major cold fronts or typhoon influences appear in near-term data, though updated model runs could adjust probabilities if clearer conditions emerge.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$299Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate overnight lows in Shanghai on August 17 near 24–26°C, shaped by subtropical monsoon conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that suppress radiative cooling. Seasonal baselines show typical August minima around 25–27°C, with current guidance from sources like timeanddate.com projecting 24–25°C lows under overcast skies. These factors position 25–26°C as leading market-implied outcomes by aligning with expected atmospheric stability and limited diurnal temperature swings. No major cold fronts or typhoon influences appear in near-term data, though updated model runs could adjust probabilities if clearer conditions emerge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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