Traders see the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C as the leading outcomes because Hong Kong’s daily maximum on August 15 hinges on subtle meteorological differences captured at official stations. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and variable afternoon cloud cover limit peak solar heating, while the urban heat island effect and exact timing of any seabreeze or thunderstorm can shift the recorded high by 1°C. With the market resolving on verified Observatory data, these factors create genuine uncertainty until the final hourly readings confirm whether the peak crosses the 31°C threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 15 августа?
31°C 32%
30°C 28%
29°C 18%
32°C 11%
$71,540 Объем
$71,540 Объем
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
9%
29°C
18%
30°C
28%
31°C
32%
32°C
11%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 32%
30°C 28%
29°C 18%
32°C 11%
$71,540 Объем
$71,540 Объем
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
9%
29°C
18%
30°C
28%
31°C
32%
32°C
11%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the narrow spread between 30°C and 31°C as the leading outcomes because Hong Kong’s daily maximum on August 15 hinges on subtle meteorological differences captured at official stations. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and variable afternoon cloud cover limit peak solar heating, while the urban heat island effect and exact timing of any seabreeze or thunderstorm can shift the recorded high by 1°C. With the market resolving on verified Observatory data, these factors create genuine uncertainty until the final hourly readings confirm whether the peak crosses the 31°C threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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