Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 15 point to a maximum of 32°C under mostly cloudy skies with 30% precipitation chance, following early-August heatwave peaks above 40°C in parts of South Korea. This has shifted trader consensus toward 29–31°C outcomes, as increased cloud cover and coastal sea-breeze effects at Incheon moderate daytime heating compared to inland stations. Model consensus shows limited afternoon instability, with historical August climatology favoring highs near 30–31°C when similar post-heatwave patterns occur. Key variables include the timing and extent of any showers, which could cap temperatures at 29°C or allow brief clearing toward 32°C. Updated KMA short-range guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.