Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 33°C on August 16 under a southwesterly airstream, with 65-95% rain probability and intervals of sunshine interspersed with showers that could suppress peak readings. Nearby model guidance clusters near 32-33°C, reflecting typical August climatology of 31°C averages but elevated by seasonal signals for normal-to-above-normal temperatures. Trader consensus between the top two outcomes hinges on shower timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture, which introduce small but measurable uncertainty in surface maxima two days ahead. Updated model runs and HKO briefings through the weekend will likely sharpen resolution on whether convective cooling keeps readings at or below 32°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 16 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 16 августа?
32°C 30%
33°C 29%
31°C 21%
34°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
21%
32°C
30%
33°C
29%
34°C
19%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 30%
33°C 29%
31°C 21%
34°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$105 Объем
1%
28°C
$5 Объем
1%
29°C
$5 Объем
1%
30°C
$55 Объем
4%
31°C
$0 Объем
21%
32°C
$79 Объем
30%
33°C
$0 Объем
29%
34°C
$0 Объем
19%
35°C
$0 Объем
4%
36°C
$5 Объем
1%
37°C or higher
$5 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 33°C on August 16 under a southwesterly airstream, with 65-95% rain probability and intervals of sunshine interspersed with showers that could suppress peak readings. Nearby model guidance clusters near 32-33°C, reflecting typical August climatology of 31°C averages but elevated by seasonal signals for normal-to-above-normal temperatures. Trader consensus between the top two outcomes hinges on shower timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture, which introduce small but measurable uncertainty in surface maxima two days ahead. Updated model runs and HKO briefings through the weekend will likely sharpen resolution on whether convective cooling keeps readings at or below 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$259Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 33°C on August 16 under a southwesterly airstream, with 65-95% rain probability and intervals of sunshine interspersed with showers that could suppress peak readings. Nearby model guidance clusters near 32-33°C, reflecting typical August climatology of 31°C averages but elevated by seasonal signals for normal-to-above-normal temperatures. Trader consensus between the top two outcomes hinges on shower timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture, which introduce small but measurable uncertainty in surface maxima two days ahead. Updated model runs and HKO briefings through the weekend will likely sharpen resolution on whether convective cooling keeps readings at or below 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$259Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 33°C on August 16 under a southwesterly airstream, with 65-95% rain probability and intervals of sunshine interspersed with showers that could suppress peak readings. Nearby model guidance clusters near 32-33°C, reflecting typical August climatology of 31°C averages but elevated by seasonal signals for normal-to-above-normal temperatures. Trader consensus between the top two outcomes hinges on shower timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture, which introduce small but measurable uncertainty in surface maxima two days ahead. Updated model runs and HKO briefings through the weekend will likely sharpen resolution on whether convective cooling keeps readings at or below 32°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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