Current ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place the highest temperature in Helsinki on August 16 around 19–22 °C, reflecting a seasonal late-summer decline and moderating southwesterly flow off the Baltic Sea. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger warming, consistent with climatology where daily maxima above 25 °C become rare after mid-August. Recent runs have converged near 20–21 °C under mostly stable high pressure with light showers possible, narrowing the distribution around these values. Market-implied odds cluster on 21 °C (35.5 %) and 22 °C (25 %), aligning with the central tendency of these probabilistic outputs while assigning lower weight to outliers beyond 23 °C. Updated model guidance and official FMI briefings remain the key near-term drivers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Хельсинки 16 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Хельсинки 16 августа?
21°C 36%
22°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
10%
21°C
36%
22°C
25%
23°C
12%
24°C
5%
25°C
6%
26°C или выше
1%
21°C 36%
22°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$5 Объем
1%
17°C
$5 Объем
1%
18°C
$10 Объем
3%
19°C
$32 Объем
5%
20°C
$0 Объем
10%
21°C
$2 Объем
36%
22°C
$0 Объем
25%
23°C
$5 Объем
12%
24°C
$5 Объем
5%
25°C
$10 Объем
6%
26°C или выше
$5 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place the highest temperature in Helsinki on August 16 around 19–22 °C, reflecting a seasonal late-summer decline and moderating southwesterly flow off the Baltic Sea. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger warming, consistent with climatology where daily maxima above 25 °C become rare after mid-August. Recent runs have converged near 20–21 °C under mostly stable high pressure with light showers possible, narrowing the distribution around these values. Market-implied odds cluster on 21 °C (35.5 %) and 22 °C (25 %), aligning with the central tendency of these probabilistic outputs while assigning lower weight to outliers beyond 23 °C. Updated model guidance and official FMI briefings remain the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$78Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place the highest temperature in Helsinki on August 16 around 19–22 °C, reflecting a seasonal late-summer decline and moderating southwesterly flow off the Baltic Sea. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger warming, consistent with climatology where daily maxima above 25 °C become rare after mid-August. Recent runs have converged near 20–21 °C under mostly stable high pressure with light showers possible, narrowing the distribution around these values. Market-implied odds cluster on 21 °C (35.5 %) and 22 °C (25 %), aligning with the central tendency of these probabilistic outputs while assigning lower weight to outliers beyond 23 °C. Updated model guidance and official FMI briefings remain the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$78Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place the highest temperature in Helsinki on August 16 around 19–22 °C, reflecting a seasonal late-summer decline and moderating southwesterly flow off the Baltic Sea. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger warming, consistent with climatology where daily maxima above 25 °C become rare after mid-August. Recent runs have converged near 20–21 °C under mostly stable high pressure with light showers possible, narrowing the distribution around these values. Market-implied odds cluster on 21 °C (35.5 %) and 22 °C (25 %), aligning with the central tendency of these probabilistic outputs while assigning lower weight to outliers beyond 23 °C. Updated model guidance and official FMI briefings remain the key near-term drivers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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