Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF indicate a moderate onshore flow and marine layer influence will cap daytime highs near downtown Los Angeles at 76–77 °F on August 14. Persistent southwesterly winds at 4–8 mph, combined with typical August coastal stratus clearing by midday, support this narrow range rather than hotter interior valley conditions. No significant upper-level ridge or offshore wind event has emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities toward the 78–79 °F bin. Historical climatology for mid-August shows average highs of 83–85 °F, yet the current setup aligns with cooler coastal anomalies observed earlier this week. Updated model runs and any marine layer adjustments expected overnight will be the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 14 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 14 августа?
76-77°F 57%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
57%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F или выше
<1%
76-77°F 57%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
$146 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$134 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$312 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$548 Объем
3%
72-73°F
$951 Объем
6%
74-75°F
$711 Объем
31%
76-77°F
$2,433 Объем
57%
78-79°F
$610 Объем
8%
80-81°F
$350 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$232 Объем
<1%
84°F или выше
$360 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF indicate a moderate onshore flow and marine layer influence will cap daytime highs near downtown Los Angeles at 76–77 °F on August 14. Persistent southwesterly winds at 4–8 mph, combined with typical August coastal stratus clearing by midday, support this narrow range rather than hotter interior valley conditions. No significant upper-level ridge or offshore wind event has emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities toward the 78–79 °F bin. Historical climatology for mid-August shows average highs of 83–85 °F, yet the current setup aligns with cooler coastal anomalies observed earlier this week. Updated model runs and any marine layer adjustments expected overnight will be the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$6,770Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF indicate a moderate onshore flow and marine layer influence will cap daytime highs near downtown Los Angeles at 76–77 °F on August 14. Persistent southwesterly winds at 4–8 mph, combined with typical August coastal stratus clearing by midday, support this narrow range rather than hotter interior valley conditions. No significant upper-level ridge or offshore wind event has emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities toward the 78–79 °F bin. Historical climatology for mid-August shows average highs of 83–85 °F, yet the current setup aligns with cooler coastal anomalies observed earlier this week. Updated model runs and any marine layer adjustments expected overnight will be the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,770Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF indicate a moderate onshore flow and marine layer influence will cap daytime highs near downtown Los Angeles at 76–77 °F on August 14. Persistent southwesterly winds at 4–8 mph, combined with typical August coastal stratus clearing by midday, support this narrow range rather than hotter interior valley conditions. No significant upper-level ridge or offshore wind event has emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities toward the 78–79 °F bin. Historical climatology for mid-August shows average highs of 83–85 °F, yet the current setup aligns with cooler coastal anomalies observed earlier this week. Updated model runs and any marine layer adjustments expected overnight will be the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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