The Trump administration's August 2026 renewal of efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook—providing formal notice and a response deadline over pre-appointment mortgage allegations she has denied as inadvertent—remains the dominant driver of market-implied odds. The June 2026 Supreme Court ruling preserved Fed for-cause protections and due process requirements while leaving room for renewed action, distinguishing the central bank from other agencies amid broader presidential authority expansions. Cook's recent comments emphasizing inflation risks over labor market weakness underscore potential policy divergence, with traders monitoring lower-court proceedings, any FOMC voting shifts, and Treasury yield reactions for signals on monetary policy continuity. Resolution timelines hinge on legal milestones and administration follow-through.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$14,414 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
30 сентября
1%
31 октября
2%
30 ноября
7%
31 декабря
6%
$14,414 Объем
30 сентября
$6,660 Объем
1%
31 октября
$5,143 Объем
2%
30 ноября
$1,041 Объем
7%
31 декабря
$1,570 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The Trump administration's August 2026 renewal of efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook—providing formal notice and a response deadline over pre-appointment mortgage allegations she has denied as inadvertent—remains the dominant driver of market-implied odds. The June 2026 Supreme Court ruling preserved Fed for-cause protections and due process requirements while leaving room for renewed action, distinguishing the central bank from other agencies amid broader presidential authority expansions. Cook's recent comments emphasizing inflation risks over labor market weakness underscore potential policy divergence, with traders monitoring lower-court proceedings, any FOMC voting shifts, and Treasury yield reactions for signals on monetary policy continuity. Resolution timelines hinge on legal milestones and administration follow-through.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Объем
$14,414Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The Trump administration's August 2026 renewal of efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook—providing formal notice and a response deadline over pre-appointment mortgage allegations she has denied as inadvertent—remains the dominant driver of market-implied odds. The June 2026 Supreme Court ruling preserved Fed for-cause protections and due process requirements while leaving room for renewed action, distinguishing the central bank from other agencies amid broader presidential authority expansions. Cook's recent comments emphasizing inflation risks over labor market weakness underscore potential policy divergence, with traders monitoring lower-court proceedings, any FOMC voting shifts, and Treasury yield reactions for signals on monetary policy continuity. Resolution timelines hinge on legal milestones and administration follow-through.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$14,414Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration's August 2026 renewal of efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook—providing formal notice and a response deadline over pre-appointment mortgage allegations she has denied as inadvertent—remains the dominant driver of market-implied odds. The June 2026 Supreme Court ruling preserved Fed for-cause protections and due process requirements while leaving room for renewed action, distinguishing the central bank from other agencies amid broader presidential authority expansions. Cook's recent comments emphasizing inflation risks over labor market weakness underscore potential policy divergence, with traders monitoring lower-court proceedings, any FOMC voting shifts, and Treasury yield reactions for signals on monetary policy continuity. Resolution timelines hinge on legal milestones and administration follow-through.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы