Apvienotais saraksts (AS) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the October 3 Latvian Saeima election, reflecting consistent leads in late-summer polling averages near 23% support. As the party of incumbent Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, AS benefits from its role in the centre-right coalition formed in May 2026 following the prior government's collapse over defense issues. Recent surveys from SKDS and Latvijas Fakti show AS ahead of SV, PRO, LPV and other lists by double-digit margins, with no major late shifts reported in the final weeks. The market's heavy weighting toward AS aligns with these trends and the short timeline to voting, while lower probabilities for challengers track their more limited polling trajectories and coalition uncertainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAS 85.1%
SV 5.8%
ПРО 3.7%
LPV 2.1%
$221,695 Объем
$221,695 Объем
2 окт. 2026 г.
AS
85%
SV
6%
ПРО
4%
LPV
2%
NA
<1%
JV
<1%
ЗЗС
<1%
ST!
<1%
С
<1%
AS 85.1%
SV 5.8%
ПРО 3.7%
LPV 2.1%
$221,695 Объем
$221,695 Объем
2 окт. 2026 г.
AS
$43,285 Объем
85%
SV
$28,430 Объем
6%
ПРО
$31,769 Объем
4%
LPV
$26,632 Объем
2%
NA
$10,386 Объем
<1%
JV
$13,859 Объем
<1%
ЗЗС
$55,632 Объем
<1%
ST!
$4,964 Объем
<1%
С
$6,738 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Apvienotais saraksts (AS) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the October 3 Latvian Saeima election, reflecting consistent leads in late-summer polling averages near 23% support. As the party of incumbent Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, AS benefits from its role in the centre-right coalition formed in May 2026 following the prior government's collapse over defense issues. Recent surveys from SKDS and Latvijas Fakti show AS ahead of SV, PRO, LPV and other lists by double-digit margins, with no major late shifts reported in the final weeks. The market's heavy weighting toward AS aligns with these trends and the short timeline to voting, while lower probabilities for challengers track their more limited polling trajectories and coalition uncertainties.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
Объем
$221,695Дата окончания
3 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Apvienotais saraksts (AS) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the October 3 Latvian Saeima election, reflecting consistent leads in late-summer polling averages near 23% support. As the party of incumbent Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, AS benefits from its role in the centre-right coalition formed in May 2026 following the prior government's collapse over defense issues. Recent surveys from SKDS and Latvijas Fakti show AS ahead of SV, PRO, LPV and other lists by double-digit margins, with no major late shifts reported in the final weeks. The market's heavy weighting toward AS aligns with these trends and the short timeline to voting, while lower probabilities for challengers track their more limited polling trajectories and coalition uncertainties.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Объем
$221,695Дата окончания
3 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Apvienotais saraksts (AS) holds a commanding position in trader consensus for the October 3 Latvian Saeima election, reflecting consistent leads in late-summer polling averages near 23% support. As the party of incumbent Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs, AS benefits from its role in the centre-right coalition formed in May 2026 following the prior government's collapse over defense issues. Recent surveys from SKDS and Latvijas Fakti show AS ahead of SV, PRO, LPV and other lists by double-digit margins, with no major late shifts reported in the final weeks. The market's heavy weighting toward AS aligns with these trends and the short timeline to voting, while lower probabilities for challengers track their more limited polling trajectories and coalition uncertainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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