Recent polls place the Religious Zionist Party-Zehut technical bloc at 5-7 seats, reflecting the impact of their September 1 alliance to pool support and clear the 3.25% threshold after RZP alone polled near or below it due to competition from Ofer Winter’s new party. Trader consensus between 4-5 and 6-7 seats remains tight because outcomes hinge on religious Zionist turnout, further right-wing consolidation before the October 27 election, and how undecided voters distribute among Likud allies. A stronger performance by Otzma Yehudit or shifts in ultra-Orthodox support could push results toward either end of that range, while late list finalization and campaign events add uncertainty to the bloc’s final tally.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено6-7 36%
4-5 30%
8–9 19%
<4 11%
<4
11%
4-5
30%
6-7
36%
8–9
19%
10+
9%
6-7 36%
4-5 30%
8–9 19%
<4 11%
<4
11%
4-5
30%
6-7
36%
8–9
19%
10+
9%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place the Religious Zionist Party-Zehut technical bloc at 5-7 seats, reflecting the impact of their September 1 alliance to pool support and clear the 3.25% threshold after RZP alone polled near or below it due to competition from Ofer Winter’s new party. Trader consensus between 4-5 and 6-7 seats remains tight because outcomes hinge on religious Zionist turnout, further right-wing consolidation before the October 27 election, and how undecided voters distribute among Likud allies. A stronger performance by Otzma Yehudit or shifts in ultra-Orthodox support could push results toward either end of that range, while late list finalization and campaign events add uncertainty to the bloc’s final tally.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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