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icon for Выборы в Израиле: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

Выборы в Израиле: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

icon for Выборы в Израиле: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

Выборы в Израиле: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

6-7 36%

4-5 30%

8–9 19%

<4 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

6-7 36%

4-5 30%

8–9 19%

<4 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<4

$0 Объем

11%

4-5

$25 Объем

30%

6-7

$0 Объем

36%

8–9

$10 Объем

19%

10+

$120 Объем

9%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls place the Religious Zionist Party-Zehut technical bloc at 5-7 seats, reflecting the impact of their September 1 alliance to pool support and clear the 3.25% threshold after RZP alone polled near or below it due to competition from Ofer Winter’s new party. Trader consensus between 4-5 and 6-7 seats remains tight because outcomes hinge on religious Zionist turnout, further right-wing consolidation before the October 27 election, and how undecided voters distribute among Likud allies. A stronger performance by Otzma Yehudit or shifts in ultra-Orthodox support could push results toward either end of that range, while late list finalization and campaign events add uncertainty to the bloc’s final tally.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$155
Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls place the Religious Zionist Party-Zehut technical bloc at 5-7 seats, reflecting the impact of their September 1 alliance to pool support and clear the 3.25% threshold after RZP alone polled near or below it due to competition from Ofer Winter’s new party. Trader consensus between 4-5 and 6-7 seats remains tight because outcomes hinge on religious Zionist turnout, further right-wing consolidation before the October 27 election, and how undecided voters distribute among Likud allies. A stronger performance by Otzma Yehudit or shifts in ultra-Orthodox support could push results toward either end of that range, while late list finalization and campaign events add uncertainty to the bloc’s final tally.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$155
Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Израиле: RZP-Zehut # of seats?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «6-7» с 36%, за ним следует «4-5» с 30%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 36¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 36%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы в Израиле: RZP-Zehut # of seats?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 4, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Израиле: RZP-Zehut # of seats?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Израиле: RZP-Zehut # of seats?» — «6-7» с 36%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 36%. Следующий ближайший исход — «4-5» с 30%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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