Traders price the highest probability on a 31°C daily maximum in Panama City today, driven by regional forecast models showing typical wet-season conditions with moderate trade winds, high humidity, and scattered afternoon convection that caps extreme surface heating. The tight spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes underscores uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and thunderstorm timing, which can suppress or briefly elevate peaks by 1–2°C. August climatology places normal highs near 31°C under ENSO-neutral sea-surface temperatures, with official Panamanian meteorological observations and satellite-derived surface analyses serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs this morning continue to support this narrow range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Панаме 18 августа?
30°C 33%
31°C 31%
32°C 17%
29°C 16%
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
33%
31°C
31%
32°C
17%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C или выше
<1%
30°C 33%
31°C 31%
32°C 17%
29°C 16%
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
33%
31°C
31%
32°C
17%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price the highest probability on a 31°C daily maximum in Panama City today, driven by regional forecast models showing typical wet-season conditions with moderate trade winds, high humidity, and scattered afternoon convection that caps extreme surface heating. The tight spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes underscores uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and thunderstorm timing, which can suppress or briefly elevate peaks by 1–2°C. August climatology places normal highs near 31°C under ENSO-neutral sea-surface temperatures, with official Panamanian meteorological observations and satellite-derived surface analyses serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs this morning continue to support this narrow range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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