Recent PAGASA forecasts project a maximum of 30°C for Manila on August 5 amid 90% rain probability, consistent with southwest monsoon conditions and lingering effects from Tropical Cyclone Luis that have produced widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. These factors limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, favoring peak readings near 28–29°C over the climatological August average near 31°C. Model consensus on monsoon strength and any lingering cyclonic circulation will determine whether convection intensifies enough to cap temperatures at 28°C or allows brief clearing that supports 30°C. Updated PAGASA outlooks and regional model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 5 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 5 августа?
29°C 37%
28°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
30%
29°C
37%
30°C
19%
31°C
6%
32°C или выше
2%
29°C 37%
28°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$393 Объем
<1%
23°C
$28 Объем
1%
24°C
$10 Объем
2%
25°C
$59 Объем
1%
26°C
$177 Объем
2%
27°C
$118 Объем
7%
28°C
$59 Объем
30%
29°C
$224 Объем
37%
30°C
$55 Объем
19%
31°C
$44 Объем
6%
32°C или выше
$91 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts project a maximum of 30°C for Manila on August 5 amid 90% rain probability, consistent with southwest monsoon conditions and lingering effects from Tropical Cyclone Luis that have produced widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. These factors limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, favoring peak readings near 28–29°C over the climatological August average near 31°C. Model consensus on monsoon strength and any lingering cyclonic circulation will determine whether convection intensifies enough to cap temperatures at 28°C or allows brief clearing that supports 30°C. Updated PAGASA outlooks and regional model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Объем
$1,256Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts project a maximum of 30°C for Manila on August 5 amid 90% rain probability, consistent with southwest monsoon conditions and lingering effects from Tropical Cyclone Luis that have produced widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. These factors limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, favoring peak readings near 28–29°C over the climatological August average near 31°C. Model consensus on monsoon strength and any lingering cyclonic circulation will determine whether convection intensifies enough to cap temperatures at 28°C or allows brief clearing that supports 30°C. Updated PAGASA outlooks and regional model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,256Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts project a maximum of 30°C for Manila on August 5 amid 90% rain probability, consistent with southwest monsoon conditions and lingering effects from Tropical Cyclone Luis that have produced widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. These factors limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, favoring peak readings near 28–29°C over the climatological August average near 31°C. Model consensus on monsoon strength and any lingering cyclonic circulation will determine whether convection intensifies enough to cap temperatures at 28°C or allows brief clearing that supports 30°C. Updated PAGASA outlooks and regional model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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