Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, with active KMA heatwave warnings as of August 3, 2026, underpin trader positioning around 34–35°C for the Incheon maximum on August 5. Official short-range guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly clear skies under a strong subtropical high, promoting daytime heating, though Incheon’s coastal location introduces moderating sea-breeze potential that caps extremes relative to inland Seoul. Recent model runs cluster daily highs near 35°C, with minor spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection. Historical August baselines for the site average 28–31°C, so current anomalies reflect the amplified ridge; updated KMA or ECMWF guidance on August 4 will likely refine whether the peak reaches the upper or lower edge of the 33–36°C band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 5 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 5 августа?
34°C 40%
35°C 29%
33°C 19%
36°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
19%
34°C
40%
35°C
29%
36°C
11%
37°C или выше
3%
34°C 40%
35°C 29%
33°C 19%
36°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
$765 Объем
<1%
28°C
$627 Объем
<1%
29°C
$44 Объем
1%
30°C
$34 Объем
1%
31°C
$72 Объем
2%
32°C
$129 Объем
4%
33°C
$160 Объем
19%
34°C
$244 Объем
40%
35°C
$236 Объем
29%
36°C
$65 Объем
11%
37°C или выше
$126 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, with active KMA heatwave warnings as of August 3, 2026, underpin trader positioning around 34–35°C for the Incheon maximum on August 5. Official short-range guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly clear skies under a strong subtropical high, promoting daytime heating, though Incheon’s coastal location introduces moderating sea-breeze potential that caps extremes relative to inland Seoul. Recent model runs cluster daily highs near 35°C, with minor spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection. Historical August baselines for the site average 28–31°C, so current anomalies reflect the amplified ridge; updated KMA or ECMWF guidance on August 4 will likely refine whether the peak reaches the upper or lower edge of the 33–36°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$2,502Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, with active KMA heatwave warnings as of August 3, 2026, underpin trader positioning around 34–35°C for the Incheon maximum on August 5. Official short-range guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly clear skies under a strong subtropical high, promoting daytime heating, though Incheon’s coastal location introduces moderating sea-breeze potential that caps extremes relative to inland Seoul. Recent model runs cluster daily highs near 35°C, with minor spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection. Historical August baselines for the site average 28–31°C, so current anomalies reflect the amplified ridge; updated KMA or ECMWF guidance on August 4 will likely refine whether the peak reaches the upper or lower edge of the 33–36°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,502Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, with active KMA heatwave warnings as of August 3, 2026, underpin trader positioning around 34–35°C for the Incheon maximum on August 5. Official short-range guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate mostly clear skies under a strong subtropical high, promoting daytime heating, though Incheon’s coastal location introduces moderating sea-breeze potential that caps extremes relative to inland Seoul. Recent model runs cluster daily highs near 35°C, with minor spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection. Historical August baselines for the site average 28–31°C, so current anomalies reflect the amplified ridge; updated KMA or ECMWF guidance on August 4 will likely refine whether the peak reaches the upper or lower edge of the 33–36°C band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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