Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 26°C for August 5 amid typical summer humidity and variable cloud cover, driving the near-even market split between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Persistent moisture and possible showers limit nighttime radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions, while light winds and high humidity maintain temperatures close to recent daily minima around 25–26°C. Seasonal outlooks note normal to above-normal warmth overall, but short-term model consensus shows uncertainty in exact clearing timing that could allow a dip to 25°C or hold the low at 26°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical August patterns where cloud and precipitation frequently cap overnight drops.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 5 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 5 августа?
26°C 36%
25°C 34%
27°C 18%
23°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
11%
24°C
11%
25°C
34%
26°C
36%
27°C
18%
28°C
10%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C или выше
<1%
26°C 36%
25°C 34%
27°C 18%
23°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$22 Объем
1%
22°C
$27 Объем
1%
23°C
$27 Объем
11%
24°C
$190 Объем
11%
25°C
$53 Объем
34%
26°C
$10 Объем
36%
27°C
$5 Объем
18%
28°C
$0 Объем
10%
29°C
$277 Объем
1%
30°C
$22 Объем
1%
31°C или выше
$43 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 26°C for August 5 amid typical summer humidity and variable cloud cover, driving the near-even market split between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Persistent moisture and possible showers limit nighttime radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions, while light winds and high humidity maintain temperatures close to recent daily minima around 25–26°C. Seasonal outlooks note normal to above-normal warmth overall, but short-term model consensus shows uncertainty in exact clearing timing that could allow a dip to 25°C or hold the low at 26°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical August patterns where cloud and precipitation frequently cap overnight drops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$675Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 26°C for August 5 amid typical summer humidity and variable cloud cover, driving the near-even market split between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Persistent moisture and possible showers limit nighttime radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions, while light winds and high humidity maintain temperatures close to recent daily minima around 25–26°C. Seasonal outlooks note normal to above-normal warmth overall, but short-term model consensus shows uncertainty in exact clearing timing that could allow a dip to 25°C or hold the low at 26°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical August patterns where cloud and precipitation frequently cap overnight drops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$675Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 26°C for August 5 amid typical summer humidity and variable cloud cover, driving the near-even market split between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Persistent moisture and possible showers limit nighttime radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions, while light winds and high humidity maintain temperatures close to recent daily minima around 25–26°C. Seasonal outlooks note normal to above-normal warmth overall, but short-term model consensus shows uncertainty in exact clearing timing that could allow a dip to 25°C or hold the low at 26°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical August patterns where cloud and precipitation frequently cap overnight drops.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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