Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and local KNMI guidance point to a daytime maximum near 24–25°C in Amsterdam on August 5, 2026, slightly above the long-term August average of 21°C. A moderate southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover are expected to limit stronger warming, while sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea continue to moderate extremes. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited support for 26°C or higher under current steering patterns, aligning with the market-implied probabilities favoring 24–25°C as the most likely outcomes. Updated model runs and any late shifts in cloud or wind forecasts ahead of the daily maximum will be the primary drivers of further adjustments in trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 5 августа?
25°C 48%
24°C 33%
26°C 11%
23°C 7%
$18,521 Объем
$18,521 Объем
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
7%
24°C
33%
25°C
48%
26°C
11%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
25°C 48%
24°C 33%
26°C 11%
23°C 7%
$18,521 Объем
$18,521 Объем
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
7%
24°C
33%
25°C
48%
26°C
11%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and local KNMI guidance point to a daytime maximum near 24–25°C in Amsterdam on August 5, 2026, slightly above the long-term August average of 21°C. A moderate southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover are expected to limit stronger warming, while sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea continue to moderate extremes. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited support for 26°C or higher under current steering patterns, aligning with the market-implied probabilities favoring 24–25°C as the most likely outcomes. Updated model runs and any late shifts in cloud or wind forecasts ahead of the daily maximum will be the primary drivers of further adjustments in trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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