Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Moscow’s August 6 high temperature near 29–30 °C, several degrees above the long-term August average of 22–24 °C, as a ridge of warm air advection persists under partly cloudy skies with light winds. These conditions favor modest afternoon heating while limiting strong convective cooling, keeping the most probable outcomes tightly clustered around 28–31 °C. Minor model differences in predicted cloud fraction, boundary-layer moisture, and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow probability spread seen in current market-implied odds. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS, will refine the maximum and could shift sentiment if cloud cover increases or decreases.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 6 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 6 августа?
29°C 33%
30°C 28%
28°C 20%
31°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
20%
29°C
33%
30°C
28%
31°C
8%
32°C
4%
33°C или выше
3%
29°C 33%
30°C 28%
28°C 20%
31°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$0 Объем
<1%
24°C
$0 Объем
3%
25°C
$21 Объем
2%
26°C
$92 Объем
3%
27°C
$5 Объем
6%
28°C
$0 Объем
20%
29°C
$15 Объем
33%
30°C
$0 Объем
28%
31°C
$44 Объем
8%
32°C
$20 Объем
4%
33°C или выше
$22 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Moscow’s August 6 high temperature near 29–30 °C, several degrees above the long-term August average of 22–24 °C, as a ridge of warm air advection persists under partly cloudy skies with light winds. These conditions favor modest afternoon heating while limiting strong convective cooling, keeping the most probable outcomes tightly clustered around 28–31 °C. Minor model differences in predicted cloud fraction, boundary-layer moisture, and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow probability spread seen in current market-implied odds. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS, will refine the maximum and could shift sentiment if cloud cover increases or decreases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$220Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Moscow’s August 6 high temperature near 29–30 °C, several degrees above the long-term August average of 22–24 °C, as a ridge of warm air advection persists under partly cloudy skies with light winds. These conditions favor modest afternoon heating while limiting strong convective cooling, keeping the most probable outcomes tightly clustered around 28–31 °C. Minor model differences in predicted cloud fraction, boundary-layer moisture, and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow probability spread seen in current market-implied odds. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS, will refine the maximum and could shift sentiment if cloud cover increases or decreases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$220Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Moscow’s August 6 high temperature near 29–30 °C, several degrees above the long-term August average of 22–24 °C, as a ridge of warm air advection persists under partly cloudy skies with light winds. These conditions favor modest afternoon heating while limiting strong convective cooling, keeping the most probable outcomes tightly clustered around 28–31 °C. Minor model differences in predicted cloud fraction, boundary-layer moisture, and the exact timing of any weak frontal passage create the narrow probability spread seen in current market-implied odds. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS, will refine the maximum and could shift sentiment if cloud cover increases or decreases.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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