Recent official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent high pressure and elevated humidity levels across the Seoul-Incheon region, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–29 °C for the August 6 morning low. Coastal moderation from Incheon’s marine influence and the urban heat island effect in Seoul create narrow ranges in forecast model outputs, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor variations in expected cloud cover and wind speeds that differentiate these closely matched outcomes. Historical August baselines show typical overnight lows near 22–25 °C, yet current conditions suggest reduced cooling efficiency. Updated KMA and global model runs ahead of the event will likely refine probabilities as atmospheric steering patterns evolve.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 6 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 6 августа?
28°C 33%
27°C 20%
29°C 16%
30°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
9%
27°C
20%
28°C
32%
29°C
16%
30°C
10%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C или выше
1%
28°C 33%
27°C 20%
29°C 16%
30°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$0 Объем
2%
24°C
$0 Объем
2%
25°C
$0 Объем
7%
26°C
$0 Объем
9%
27°C
$46 Объем
20%
28°C
$5 Объем
32%
29°C
$0 Объем
16%
30°C
$0 Объем
10%
31°C
$42 Объем
1%
32°C
$20 Объем
1%
33°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent high pressure and elevated humidity levels across the Seoul-Incheon region, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–29 °C for the August 6 morning low. Coastal moderation from Incheon’s marine influence and the urban heat island effect in Seoul create narrow ranges in forecast model outputs, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor variations in expected cloud cover and wind speeds that differentiate these closely matched outcomes. Historical August baselines show typical overnight lows near 22–25 °C, yet current conditions suggest reduced cooling efficiency. Updated KMA and global model runs ahead of the event will likely refine probabilities as atmospheric steering patterns evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$113Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent high pressure and elevated humidity levels across the Seoul-Incheon region, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–29 °C for the August 6 morning low. Coastal moderation from Incheon’s marine influence and the urban heat island effect in Seoul create narrow ranges in forecast model outputs, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor variations in expected cloud cover and wind speeds that differentiate these closely matched outcomes. Historical August baselines show typical overnight lows near 22–25 °C, yet current conditions suggest reduced cooling efficiency. Updated KMA and global model runs ahead of the event will likely refine probabilities as atmospheric steering patterns evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$113Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent high pressure and elevated humidity levels across the Seoul-Incheon region, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–29 °C for the August 6 morning low. Coastal moderation from Incheon’s marine influence and the urban heat island effect in Seoul create narrow ranges in forecast model outputs, with ensemble spreads reflecting minor variations in expected cloud cover and wind speeds that differentiate these closely matched outcomes. Historical August baselines show typical overnight lows near 22–25 °C, yet current conditions suggest reduced cooling efficiency. Updated KMA and global model runs ahead of the event will likely refine probabilities as atmospheric steering patterns evolve.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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