Traders see the 15–16°C outcomes as most likely because ensemble forecasts from South African and global models show a narrow range of maximum temperatures for Cape Town on 6 August, centered near the early-August climatological average of 17–18°C but tempered by current cool, stable conditions under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Local factors such as the strength of the southeasterly “Cape Doctor” wind, marine-layer depth, and any nocturnal cloud cover introduce day-to-day variability that keeps adjacent bins (14°C and 17°C) viable. With resolution only two days away, small shifts in the next model runs or observational updates from the South African Weather Service could readily move implied probabilities among these closely matched central outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 6 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 6 августа?
16°C 31%
15°C 27%
14°C 18%
17°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
18%
15°C
27%
16°C
31%
17°C
15%
18°C
6%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C или выше
<1%
16°C 31%
15°C 27%
14°C 18%
17°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$40 Объем
<1%
12°C
$110 Объем
2%
13°C
$111 Объем
5%
14°C
$100 Объем
18%
15°C
$61 Объем
27%
16°C
$108 Объем
31%
17°C
$91 Объем
15%
18°C
$84 Объем
6%
19°C
$162 Объем
3%
20°C
$25 Объем
1%
21°C или выше
$34 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 15–16°C outcomes as most likely because ensemble forecasts from South African and global models show a narrow range of maximum temperatures for Cape Town on 6 August, centered near the early-August climatological average of 17–18°C but tempered by current cool, stable conditions under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Local factors such as the strength of the southeasterly “Cape Doctor” wind, marine-layer depth, and any nocturnal cloud cover introduce day-to-day variability that keeps adjacent bins (14°C and 17°C) viable. With resolution only two days away, small shifts in the next model runs or observational updates from the South African Weather Service could readily move implied probabilities among these closely matched central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Объем
$925Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 15–16°C outcomes as most likely because ensemble forecasts from South African and global models show a narrow range of maximum temperatures for Cape Town on 6 August, centered near the early-August climatological average of 17–18°C but tempered by current cool, stable conditions under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Local factors such as the strength of the southeasterly “Cape Doctor” wind, marine-layer depth, and any nocturnal cloud cover introduce day-to-day variability that keeps adjacent bins (14°C and 17°C) viable. With resolution only two days away, small shifts in the next model runs or observational updates from the South African Weather Service could readily move implied probabilities among these closely matched central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$925Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 15–16°C outcomes as most likely because ensemble forecasts from South African and global models show a narrow range of maximum temperatures for Cape Town on 6 August, centered near the early-August climatological average of 17–18°C but tempered by current cool, stable conditions under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. Local factors such as the strength of the southeasterly “Cape Doctor” wind, marine-layer depth, and any nocturnal cloud cover introduce day-to-day variability that keeps adjacent bins (14°C and 17°C) viable. With resolution only two days away, small shifts in the next model runs or observational updates from the South African Weather Service could readily move implied probabilities among these closely matched central outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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