Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the Met Office indicate a high of 28–29°C in Paris on August 5 as the dominant outcome, driven by a post-peak cooling trend following hotter conditions earlier in the week. A shift to northerly flow, moderating Atlantic air, and partial cloud cover is limiting daytime heating compared to the 35–36°C readings expected around August 3. Recent model runs show tight clustering in this range with low probability of exceeding 30°C or falling below 27°C, consistent with climatological August baselines near 25°C but adjusted for the current synoptic pattern. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance ahead of the final observations used for market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 5 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 5 августа?
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
27°C 18%
30°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
18%
28°C
44%
29°C
30%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
27°C 18%
30°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$334 Объем
<1%
25°C
$60 Объем
1%
26°C
$118 Объем
3%
27°C
$291 Объем
18%
28°C
$659 Объем
44%
29°C
$317 Объем
30%
30°C
$135 Объем
8%
31°C
$213 Объем
3%
32°C
$426 Объем
2%
33°C
$122 Объем
<1%
34°C или выше
$243 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the Met Office indicate a high of 28–29°C in Paris on August 5 as the dominant outcome, driven by a post-peak cooling trend following hotter conditions earlier in the week. A shift to northerly flow, moderating Atlantic air, and partial cloud cover is limiting daytime heating compared to the 35–36°C readings expected around August 3. Recent model runs show tight clustering in this range with low probability of exceeding 30°C or falling below 27°C, consistent with climatological August baselines near 25°C but adjusted for the current synoptic pattern. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance ahead of the final observations used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$2,918Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the Met Office indicate a high of 28–29°C in Paris on August 5 as the dominant outcome, driven by a post-peak cooling trend following hotter conditions earlier in the week. A shift to northerly flow, moderating Atlantic air, and partial cloud cover is limiting daytime heating compared to the 35–36°C readings expected around August 3. Recent model runs show tight clustering in this range with low probability of exceeding 30°C or falling below 27°C, consistent with climatological August baselines near 25°C but adjusted for the current synoptic pattern. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance ahead of the final observations used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,918Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the Met Office indicate a high of 28–29°C in Paris on August 5 as the dominant outcome, driven by a post-peak cooling trend following hotter conditions earlier in the week. A shift to northerly flow, moderating Atlantic air, and partial cloud cover is limiting daytime heating compared to the 35–36°C readings expected around August 3. Recent model runs show tight clustering in this range with low probability of exceeding 30°C or falling below 27°C, consistent with climatological August baselines near 25°C but adjusted for the current synoptic pattern. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance ahead of the final observations used for market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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