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icon for Самая низкая температура в Токио 5 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Токио 5 августа?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Токио 5 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Токио 5 августа?

авг. 3

авг. 4

авг. 5

авг. 3

авг. 4

авг. 5

23°C 49%

24°C 24%

22°C 22%

25°C 9%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

23°C 49%

24°C 24%

22°C 22%

25°C 9%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

18°C или ниже

$7 Объем

<1%

19°C

$34 Объем

1%

20°C

$27 Объем

1%

21°C

$7 Объем

9%

22°C

$73 Объем

22%

23°C

$44 Объем

49%

24°C

$105 Объем

24%

25°C

$7 Объем

9%

26°C

$57 Объем

2%

27°C

$7 Объем

1%

28°C или выше

$8 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing above-normal temperatures across Japan, driven by a strengthened Pacific High extending over Honshu after an early rainy season end, anchor trader consensus around a 23–24°C minimum for Tokyo on August 5. Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks released July 30 highlight continued heat, consistent with AccuWeather monthly guidance projecting overnight lows of 22–26°C amid typical early-August humidity and light winds. These patterns favor minimal nocturnal cooling compared to historical baselines near 24°C, while any localized cloud cover or brief showers could nudge the low slightly lower—scenarios reflected in the 49% and 23.5% implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing ahead of market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$376
Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing above-normal temperatures across Japan, driven by a strengthened Pacific High extending over Honshu after an early rainy season end, anchor trader consensus around a 23–24°C minimum for Tokyo on August 5. Japan Meteorological Agency seasonal outlooks released July 30 highlight continued heat, consistent with AccuWeather monthly guidance projecting overnight lows of 22–26°C amid typical early-August humidity and light winds. These patterns favor minimal nocturnal cooling compared to historical baselines near 24°C, while any localized cloud cover or brief showers could nudge the low slightly lower—scenarios reflected in the 49% and 23.5% implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing ahead of market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$376
Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Связанные

icon for Будет ли самая низкая температура в Шанхае 28°C 5 августа?

Будет ли самая низкая температура в Шанхае 28°C 5 августа?

40%
Да
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 5?

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 5?

42%
icon for Будет ли в Шанхае самая низкая температура 27°C 4 августа?

Будет ли в Шанхае самая низкая температура 27°C 4 августа?

63%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Токио 5 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «23°C» с 49%, за ним следует «24°C» с 24%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 49¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Токио 5 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Токио 5 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Токио 5 августа?» — «23°C» с 49%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Следующий ближайший исход — «24°C» с 24%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Токио 5 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.